江西“支棱”起来了，南昌呢？

Economic Overview - Jiangxi's GDP reached 1,671.96 billion yuan in the first half of the year, growing by 5.6% year-on-year, marking the third consecutive quarter of outperforming the national average [1][4] - Nanchang, the provincial capital, has not yet caught up with the provincial and national growth rates, experiencing a slowdown in economic growth for over two years [1][4] Industrial Performance - The key to Jiangxi's economic turnaround lies in the second industry, with industrial value-added growth at 6.5%, which is the largest contributor to economic growth [3][4] - Jiangxi's industrial growth is projected to benefit from rising prices in the non-ferrous metals sector and the "1269" action plan, with an expected industrial value-added growth of 8.5% in 2024, surpassing the national average by 2.7 percentage points [4][6] - The non-ferrous metal industry is expected to grow by 22.2%, while electrical machinery, automotive, and electronic information sectors are projected to grow by 18.2%, 13.1%, and 10.6%, respectively [4][6] Nanchang's Industrial Challenges - Nanchang's industrial revenue in 2023 was 664 billion yuan, a decline of 15.7% year-on-year, falling below 2019 levels [10][11] - The city's automotive manufacturing sector has also faced challenges, with revenue dropping significantly from its peak in 2019 [10][11] - Nanchang's industrial growth has been hampered by a transition period, with the city aiming to strengthen its key industrial chains through the "8810" action plan [10][11] Consumer Market Dynamics - Nanchang's retail sales of consumer goods totaled 320.24 billion yuan in 2023, growing by 6.3%, but the growth rate has been lagging behind the provincial average in 2024 [15][18] - The main reason for the slowdown in consumer growth is attributed to the wholesale and retail sectors, with automotive goods showing minimal growth [15][18] - Despite the challenges, Nanchang's tourism sector has thrived, contributing to a 9.2% increase in accommodation and dining revenue in 2024 [18][20] Population Growth and Future Outlook - Nanchang's permanent population increased by 102,200 in 2024, ranking sixth nationally in population growth, indicating a positive outlook for the city's future [20] - The city is recognized for its strategic advantages, including being a major aviation manufacturing base and a high-speed rail hub, which are expected to support its economic recovery [20]