银价高位回落日内关注下方40.20-39.56一带支撑预期

Market Overview - Silver opened at $40.843 on September 3, reached a high of $41.461, a low of $40.622, and closed at $41.1260. On September 4, silver opened at $41.270, peaked at $41.382, dipped to $40.957, and closed at $41.010 [1]. Key Economic Data - U.S. July JOLTs job openings were reported at 718.1 thousand, lower than the expected 737.8 thousand and previous 743.7 thousand [2]. - U.S. July factory orders decreased by 1.3%, slightly better than the expected decline of 1.4% and a previous drop of 4.8% [2]. - U.S. August ISM Manufacturing PMI was 48.7, below the expected 49 and previous 48 [2]. - U.S. August Consumer Confidence Index was reported at 97.4, exceeding the expected 96.2 and revised previous value of 98.7 [2]. - U.S. July Core PCE Price Index year-on-year was 2.9%, matching expectations and slightly above the previous 2.8% [2]. Federal Reserve Policies and Events - Federal Reserve officials expressed differing views on interest rate cuts, with some suggesting potential cuts depending on economic data [2]. - The Federal Reserve will hold a payment innovation meeting on October 21 to discuss stablecoins, AI, and tokenization [2]. Precious Metals Market Dynamics - The largest gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, saw a decrease in holdings by 6.3 tons, bringing the total to 984.26 tons [2]. - The largest silver ETF, iShares Silver Trust, reported a reduction of 85.08 tons in holdings, now totaling 15,281.4 tons [2]. Technical Analysis - The silver price is currently in an upward trend, with potential targets set at $41.03, $42.00, and $43.56 based on recent price movements [5]. - The analysis indicates that as long as silver does not fall below the 60-minute moving average, there is an expectation for continued upward movement [5]. Trading Strategies - Aggressive traders are advised to short between $40.90 and $41.30, while conservative traders may consider shorting between $42.80 and $43.16, with a stop loss of $0.35 [6]. - For long positions, aggressive traders may enter between $40.15 and $39.70, with strict stop losses, while conservative traders may look to enter between $39.70 and $39.50 [7].