万腾外汇：澳元兑美元守住九日EMA，短期延续看涨还是转向看跌？

Group 1: Economic Data and Currency Movement - The Australian dollar (AUD) against the US dollar (USD) rose above 0.6525, driven by optimistic GDP data and a reduction in risk aversion [1] - Australia's GDP grew by 0.6% in Q2, double the growth rate of 0.3% in Q1, and exceeded market expectations of 0.5% [7] - The annualized GDP growth rate for Q2 was 1.8%, higher than the revised Q1 rate of 1.4% and market expectations of 1.6% [7] Group 2: Technical Analysis - The AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6520, having broken a rising trend line, indicating a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum [4] - Key support levels are identified at the nine-day moving average of 0.6516 and the five-day moving average of 0.6502; breaking these levels could confirm bearish sentiment [5] - On the upside, the pair may rebound to around 0.6540, testing previous highs of 0.6568 and 0.6625 [6] Group 3: Inflation and Economic Indicators - Australia's CPI rose by 2.8% YoY in July, surpassing the previous value of 1.9% and the expected 2.3%, reducing the likelihood of recent interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) [9] - Building permits in Australia fell by 8.2% in July, exceeding the expected decline of 4.8% [9] - China's Caixin Services PMI unexpectedly increased from 52.6 in July to 53.0 in August, indicating stronger service sector activity [8]