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每经热评︱科技股回调释放短期压力 锚定业绩方能成就“慢牛”底色

Group 1 - The A-share technology sector experienced a significant adjustment on September 4, with the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index leading the decline at 6.09%, and the ChiNext Index falling by 4.25% [1] - Individual stocks saw even sharper declines, with Cambrian falling over 14%, and other stocks like New Yisheng, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication dropping more than 13% [1] - Despite the adjustments, the overall market trend remains positive, as evidenced by the strong performance of the consumer sector, with sub-sectors like dairy, prepared dishes, seafood, and pet economy all rising over 2% [1] Group 2 - The current market adjustment pressure is primarily concentrated in the technology sector, driven by short-term trading dynamics following a significant rally from August 12 to early September, where the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 and ChiNext Indexes both rose over 20% [2] - The trading environment became crowded, with the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index's trading volume increasing from 1.64% of the total A-share trading volume to 4.5% by August 27, indicating a strong concentration of funds in the tech sector [2] - Historical precedents of trading-driven adjustments in A-shares, such as the white wine sector's adjustment from late 2020 to early 2021, highlight the potential for similar patterns in the current market [2] Group 3 - The previous "technology bull" market has generated substantial wealth for investors, leading to expectations for its sustainability, which hinges on aligning stock price growth with earnings growth [3] - In the first half of 2025, 36 companies in the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index reported revenue growth, with 15 companies seeing growth exceeding 30%, and 17 companies achieving net profit growth over 30% [3] - The case of Cambrian illustrates the importance of matching stock price growth with earnings, as its adjustment reflects a necessary return to fundamentals for the sustainability of the "technology bull" market [4] Group 4 - Cambrian's risk warning announcement on August 29 highlighted the potential disconnection between its stock price and fundamental performance, coinciding with the announcement of adjustments to the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 Index [4] - The adjustment to the index, which limits individual stock weight to 10%, required funds tracking the index to sell approximately 10 billion yuan worth of Cambrian shares due to its elevated weight of about 15% [4] - This adjustment serves as a broader indicator for the entire technology sector, suggesting that the current price corrections are a normal part of the market's return to fundamentals, which is essential for the "technology bull" to have a solid foundation [4]