来源：新浪基金∞工作室 芯片ETF（159995）业绩比较基准为国证半导体芯片指数收益率，管理人为华夏基金管理有限公司，基 金经理为赵宗庭，成立（2020-01-20）以来回报为100.82%，近一个月回报为14.61%。 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月2日，芯片ETF（159995）开盘跌1.49%，报1.980元。芯片ETF（159995）重仓股方面，中芯国际开 盘跌1.28%，海光信息跌1.68%，寒武纪跌0.79%，北方华创跌0.75%，兆易创新跌4.47%，中微公司跌 0.99%，澜起科技跌0.47%，豪威集团跌0.51%，拓荆科技跌4.46%，长电科技跌2.10%。 ...

导语：窗口期末尾，冰火两重天。 作者：市值风云 App：迷宫 2025 年报业绩预告开箱（六）：百亿巨亏连环爆，AI 与创新药继续领跑 本研报基于截至 2026 年 2 月 2 日 A 股上市公司发布的业绩预告公告，筛选出值得关 注的标的。 一、业绩增速亮眼标的 1、新易盛（300502.SZ） 核心原因摘要： • 受益于全球算力投资持续增长，800G、1.6T 等高速率光模块需求快速提升 • 公司产品结构高端化，800G 营收占比达 65%-70%，毛利率稳定在 48%-50% • 1.6T产品通过英伟达GB200平台认证并规模化量产，在英伟达供应链占比超30%， 零售价格较上市初期上涨 70%至 2000 美元以上，毛利率超 50% • 泰国工厂产能释放，交付周期从 12 周压缩至 8 周，规模效应进一步摊薄成本 亮点分析： 业绩超市场一致预期（机构预测均值约 90-92 亿元），Q4 单季净利润环比增长 29%- 50%，增长加速度明显；扣非净利润与净利润高度吻合，盈利质量高；海外营收占比 94.47%，客户基本盘稳固；资产负债率仅 31.99%，财务风险极低。 2、寒武纪（688256.SH） 公司简 ...

投资评级 推荐 维持 AI主导的上行景气周期，寻找结构性投资机会 —2026年电子行业年度策略报告 证券研究报告 2026年2月2日 分析师：彭琦 E-MAIL: pengqi@gyzq.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0020523120001 分析师：沈晓涵 E-MAIL: shenxiaohan@gyzq.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0020524010002 联系人：李聪 E-MAIL: licong@gyzq.com.cn 分析师：沈晓涵 1 PART 26年整体上行周期有望持续，AI基 建对需求带动力度尚未见效 2 行业整体式24年8-9月进入景气 A股科技公司处于景气上行周期中 底部复苏 进入景气 资料来源：Wind，iFind，国元证券研究所 3 A股消费电子和半导体板块整体表现 1、24年策略"AI赋能加速行业复苏和硬件创新升级" 25年策略"电子行业有望迎来新一轮大周期拐点" 26年策略"AI主导的上行周期，寻找结构性投资机会" 2、A股科技股走势，和行业周期形成密切互动，24年1月进入周期复苏，8月进入景气阶段 3、AI带动，半导体整体表现强于消费电子 行业周期性回暖带动存储+晶圆代工， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance forecast of various A-share listed companies, indicating a significant divergence in earnings growth across different sectors, driven by technological advancements, cost control, and industry cycles [4][62]. Group 1: Companies with Strong Earnings Growth - **New Yisheng (300502.SZ)**: Expected net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86%, driven by rising demand for high-speed optical modules due to global computing power investments [6]. - **Han's Laser (688256.SH)**: Expected net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion, turning from a loss of 0.452 billion in the previous year, benefiting from the increasing demand for AI computing power [8]. - **Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ)**: Expected net profit of 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 89.50% to 128.17%, supported by strong investment in computing infrastructure [10]. - **Runze Technology (300442.SZ)**: Expected net profit of 5 billion to 5.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 179.28% to 196.03%, primarily due to non-recurring gains from public REITs issuance [12]. - **CITIC Securities (601995.SH)**: Expected net profit of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion, a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85%, driven by steady growth in core business segments [15]. Group 2: Companies with Earnings Below Expectations - **Great Wall Motors (601633.SH)**: Expected net profit of 9.912 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 21.71%, impacted by increased marketing expenses and intense competition [34]. - **GAC Group (601238.SH)**: Expected net profit of -8 billion to -9 billion, turning from a profit of 0.824 billion in the previous year, due to fierce competition and adjustments in product structure [36]. - **GCL-Poly Energy (002506.SZ)**: Expected net profit of -0.89 billion to -1.29 billion, turning from a profit of 0.068 billion, affected by structural supply-demand issues in the photovoltaic industry [38]. - **Boli Tianheng (688506.SH)**: Expected net profit of -1.1 billion, turning from a profit of 3.708 billion, due to increased R&D expenses [39]. - **Daiyue City (000031.SZ)**: Expected net profit of -2.7 billion to -2.1 billion, continuing losses from the previous year, influenced by asset impairment provisions [42]. Group 3: Industry Trends - **Technological Breakthroughs**: Industries driven by technology, such as AI and innovative pharmaceuticals, are showing strong growth, with companies like New Yisheng and Rongchang Bio leading the way [62][63]. - **Cost Control**: The energy and manufacturing sectors are experiencing a clear divide, with companies like Datang Power benefiting from lower coal prices and effective cost management [64]. - **Downward Pressure from Industry Cycles**: The real estate, agriculture, and photovoltaic sectors are under significant pressure, with companies like Vanke and Tianbang Food facing substantial earnings declines [65][66].

这意味着公司自成立以来首次实现年度盈利，标志着这家AI芯片龙头企业跨过了从技术积累到商业变 现的关键门槛。 然而，与这份亮眼财报形成鲜明对比的是，公司股价在近期却连续下滑，这种基本面与市场表现的背 离，折射出当前市场对寒武纪价值判断的复杂心态与深层逻辑。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 来源：IPO日报 2026年2月2日，2月的第一个交易日，"寒王"（寒武纪，688256）的股价一点也不兴奋，和其业绩表现 相差甚远。 当日，寒武纪以1249元的价格低开，盘中冲高回落再拉冲高，盘中最高价1273元，最低价1233元，收盘 价1242元，下跌1.34%。从阶段性高点1550元开始，15个交易日下跌超过300元，形成了新一波下杀走 势，目前已跌破30日、60日线，尚未看到止跌的信号。 张力制图 笔者以为，2025年对寒武纪而言，应该说值得是载入公司发展史的一年。根据其最新发布的业绩预告， 预计2025年营收为60亿-70亿元，归母净利润18.5亿-21.5亿元。 笔者以为，目前来看，寒武纪的基本面在本质上有了较大的突破：从"烧钱研发"到"规模盈利"转变。 我们来简单计算一 ...

证券之星消息，2月2日半导体板块较上一交易日下跌5.46%，聚辰股份领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4015.75，下跌2.48%。深证成指报收于13824.35，下跌2.69%。半导体板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688486 | 龙迅股份 | 77.83 | 1.61% | 3.34万 | | 2.63亿 | | 688601 | 力心微 | 51.73 | 1.49% | 10.67万 | | 5.49亿 | | 688167 | 炬光科技 | 255.13 | 1.25% | 7.43万 | | 19.08亿 | | 300831 | 派瑞股份 | 13.48 | 1.05% | 17.09万 | | 2.34亿 | | 600360 | *ST华微 | 8.72 | 0.23% | 20.67万 | | 1.82亿 | | 688790 | 昂瑞微 | 148.79 | -0.88% | 6055.12 | | 9086.60万 | | ...

星标 ★ IPO日报 精彩文章第一时间推送 2026年2月2日，2月的第一个交易日，"寒王"（寒武纪，688256）的股价一点也不兴奋，和其业绩表现相差甚远。 当日，寒武纪以1249元的价格低开，盘中冲高回落再拉冲高，盘中最高价1273元，最低价1233元，收盘价1242元，下跌1.34%。从阶段性高点 1550元开始，15个交易日下跌超过300元，形成了新一波下杀走势，目前已跌破30日、60日线，尚未看到止跌的信号。 张力制图 笔者以为，2025年对寒武纪而言，应该说值得是载入公司发展史的一年。根据其最新发布的业绩预告，预计2025年营收为60亿-70亿元，归母净 利润18.5亿-21.5亿元。 这意味着公司自成立以来首次实现年度盈利，标志着这家AI芯片龙头企业跨过了从技术积累到商业变现的关键门槛。 我们来简单计算一下，如果以营收中值65亿元、净利润中值20亿元计算，寒武纪2025年净利润率约30.8%，这一指标可谓相当优秀，远超国内多 数芯片设计公司，甚至可与国际领先的半导体巨头媲美。 笔者以为，寒武纪之所以能实现盈利，主要是有两个方面：一是营收大规模增长，2024年，寒武纪的营收为11.7亿元，现在最高 ...

投资评级 推荐 维持 AI主导的上行景气周期，寻找结构性投资机会 —2026年电子行业年度策略报告 证券研究报告 2026年2月2日 分析师：彭琦 E-MAIL: pengqi@gyzq.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0020523120001 分析师：沈晓涵 E-MAIL: shenxiaohan@gyzq.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0020524010002 联系人：李聪 E-MAIL: licong@gyzq.com.cn 分析师：沈晓涵 1 PART 26年整体上行周期有望持续，AI基 建对需求带动力度尚未见效 2 行业整体式24年8-9月进入景气 A股科技公司处于景气上行周期中 底部复苏 进入景气 资料来源：Wind，iFind，国元证券研究所 3 A股消费电子和半导体板块整体表现 1、24年策略"AI赋能加速行业复苏和硬件创新升级" 25年策略"电子行业有望迎来新一轮大周期拐点" 26年策略"AI主导的上行周期，寻找结构性投资机会" 2、A股科技股走势，和行业周期形成密切互动，24年1月进入周期复苏，8月进入景气阶段 3、AI带动，半导体整体表现强于消费电子 行业周期性回暖带动存储+晶圆代工， ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The report highlights that the recent volatility in gold and silver prices is primarily driven by market momentum reversals, with silver attracting high leverage and speculative funds since November 2025 [2][5] - The report anticipates that after the appointment of the new Federal Reserve Chairman, there will be more interest rate cuts than the market expects, with short-term U.S. Treasury yields likely to decline [2][4] - The report notes that the recent decline in the manufacturing PMI does not indicate a weakening economy, as it reflects a temporary fluctuation rather than a downward trend [10] Group 2: Commodity Market Analysis - The report indicates that the recent crash in silver prices has led to liquidity risks that may spread to other commodities, particularly in the non-ferrous metals sector [5][6] - It emphasizes the importance of monitoring the support levels for gold prices, particularly the 60-day moving average, which is currently at $4,400 per ounce [5] - The report suggests that the Shanghai Futures Exchange has implemented measures to manage the risk of a one-sided market in silver futures [5] Group 3: Equity Market Outlook - The report predicts a rebound in the A-share market following the Spring Festival, driven by positive sentiment from performance forecasts and new developments in sectors like AI applications and commercial aerospace [6][10] - It advises a balanced ETF allocation in domestic equities, reflecting a cautious yet optimistic outlook for the market [11] Group 4: Bond Market Perspective - The report notes that the bond market is expected to see increased buying activity due to risk aversion and expectations of monetary easing, with 10-year yields projected to decline to around 1.80% [7][10] - It highlights that the recent adjustments in risk appetite have created trading opportunities in government bonds as a hedge against stock market volatility [4][7]

Group 1 - The core report released by Hurun Research Institute highlights the "2025 Hurun Future Unicorns: Global Gazelle Enterprises List" and the "2025 Hurun China AI Enterprises Top 50" [1] - Among the top 50 AI companies in China, 19 are based in Beijing, leading the nation, with 16 of these companies located in Haidian District [1] - The ranking focuses on companies whose main business is AI computing power or algorithms, with valuations based on market capitalization as of January 9, 2026, for listed companies, and estimates for unlisted companies based on comparable listed firms or recent funding rounds [1] Group 2 - Cambricon leads the list with a valuation of 630 billion yuan, followed by Moore Threads at 310 billion yuan and Horizon Robotics at 120 billion yuan [1] - The top three companies are all related to AI chips, attributed to the tightening of high-end AI chip export controls by the US, which accelerates domestic advancements in computing power [1] - Other significant areas for Beijing's AI companies include large models, with Zhiyuan recently recognized as the "world's first large model public company," and its various open-source large models topping international open-source rankings [1] Group 3 - Vertical large model companies like Zhongguancun KJ focus on enterprise-level intelligent products that are widely applied across finance, industrial manufacturing, automotive, consumer retail, and public administration sectors [1]