Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-04 13:55Group 1: Overall Performance of China's Software Industry in 2025 - In the first half of 2025, the average revenue of covered Chinese software companies grew by 9% year-on-year, while the average net profit margin was -3% due to seasonal industry weakness [1] - Notable outperformers included Kingsoft Office, Thundersoft, and Sensetime, driven by increased AI investments, while Glodon and Sangfor saw improved net profit performance in Q2 2025 due to enhanced employee productivity [1] Group 2: Industry Outlook - ERP suppliers like Yonyou and Kingdee, along with AI providers such as Sensetime and iFlytek, are optimistic about revenue growth in the second half of 2025, driven by rising demand for AI functionalities and the proliferation of cloud platforms [2] Group 3: Strategic Focus Areas - Companies are focusing on three strategic directions: monetizing AI tools, diversifying into overseas markets or new business areas, and integrating AI with core software products to enhance customer willingness to pay and market share [3] Group 4: Valuation Levels - As of the report's release, the average P/E ratio for Chinese software companies rose to 55-60 times, with an average EV/Sales ratio of 8-9 times, although these remain below the 12-18 times levels seen in 2020-2021 [4] - Goldman Sachs believes there is further upside potential for valuations as AI-related revenues grow and companies transition to subscription-based models [5] Group 5: Key Software Companies Performance and Valuation Analysis - Yonyou's revenue for 2025 is projected at 22.03 billion RMB, a 7% increase, with a narrowed net loss of 2.09 billion RMB, driven by growth in SMB business and recovery in large client demand [6][7] - Glodon's revenue is expected to decline by 5% in 2025, primarily due to challenges in the construction cost software business, although net profit margin improved to 13% in Q2 2025 [10] - Thundersoft's revenue is projected to reach 1.831 billion RMB in 2025, a 50% increase, with a significant contribution from AIoT business, despite a decline in overall gross margin [18][19] Group 6: Other Key Company Summaries - ZWSOFT is expected to generate 208 million RMB in revenue in 2025, with a focus on low-margin solutions [26] - Sangfor's revenue is projected at 1.747 billion RMB, with a 4% year-on-year increase, benefiting from cloud computing growth [26] - Kingdee's revenue for the first half of 2025 is expected to be 3.192 billion RMB, driven by cloud business and AI functionalities [26] - Empyrean's revenue is projected at 267 million RMB, with a 13% year-on-year increase, supported by AI-driven demand in chip design [26]