主题报告 | 沪港协同：重塑国际金融中心发展新格局

Core Insights - The online seminar "Shanghai-Hong Kong Cooperation: Reshaping the New Pattern of International Financial Center Development" highlighted the recovery of Hong Kong's financial market post-2024, driven by capital inflows, low interbank rates, and leading global IPO financing [3][5] - The collaboration between Shanghai and Hong Kong is characterized as structurally complementary rather than competitive, with both cities serving distinct roles in the financial ecosystem [9][10] Group 1: Hong Kong Financial Market Recovery - Hong Kong's financial market shows signs of recovery with significant capital inflows, a drop in interbank rates, and a substantial increase in IPO financing, reaching HKD 280.8 billion in the first half of 2025, a 322% increase year-on-year [5][6] - The total market capitalization of Hong Kong's stock market reached HKD 42.7 trillion by the end of June 2025, up 33% from the previous year [5] - Despite positive signals in the financial market, the real estate sector remains weak, indicating a cautious outlook on the overall economic recovery [6] Group 2: Structural Factors Supporting Hong Kong's Financial Center Status - Hong Kong's stability as an international financial center is supported by a robust legal system, ongoing demand for offshore financial services from mainland enterprises, and its role as a trade hub in the Asia-Pacific region [7][8] - The relationship between Hong Kong and the U.S. remains strong, with a trade surplus of USD 271.5 billion over the past decade, highlighting Hong Kong's importance as a business base for U.S. companies [8] Group 3: Opportunities for Shanghai-Hong Kong Cooperation - Future cooperation between Shanghai and Hong Kong is expected to focus on five key areas: enhancing connectivity mechanisms, collaboration in the bond market, green finance, digital currency and fintech, and supporting cross-border trade and financial services [11][13][14][15] - The development of a "New York-London" style dual hub structure is proposed, with Shanghai focusing on onshore financial services and Hong Kong on offshore services [29] Group 4: Challenges in Renminbi Internationalization - The international payment status of the Renminbi is currently misaligned with China's economic standing, with a coverage rate of only 0.25, compared to higher rates for other major currencies [23] - The offshore financial development in China is lagging behind the growth of its foreign trade, indicating a need for enhanced support for the offshore Renminbi market [24] Group 5: Implementation Pathways for Offshore Financial Development - The collaboration between Shanghai and Hong Kong is essential to address structural challenges in offshore financial development, focusing on upgrading free trade account functions, restarting offshore bond markets, and enhancing digital currency applications [28][32] - The proposed action plan emphasizes the importance of offshore financial services and the need for regulatory frameworks to support innovation and market demand [27][32]