多家机构上调金价预期 20只黄金ETF年内吸金592亿元

Group 1 - COMEX gold futures have reached a historical high, peaking at $3640.1 per ounce, with some overseas institutions predicting prices could rise to $4000 per ounce, indicating a new upward cycle for gold prices [1] - Year-to-date, international gold prices have increased by 36%, leading to significant gains in gold ETFs, with an average net asset growth rate of approximately 42% across 20 gold ETFs [2] - The total scale of 20 gold ETFs has surged to 160.3 billion yuan, with an increase of 87.7 billion yuan this year, reflecting strong investor interest [2][3] Group 2 - Seven gold ETFs targeting SGE gold have seen their scale increase by 72.6 billion yuan this year, while other gold ETFs linked to Shanghai gold and gold stocks have also experienced notable growth [3] - The net inflow into the 20 gold ETFs this year totals 59.2 billion yuan, with the Huaan Gold ETF attracting the most significant inflow of 20.5 billion yuan, doubling its scale from 28.6 billion yuan at the beginning of the year [3][4] - Major public funds are the primary buyers of gold ETFs, with high self-purchase ratios reported for Huaan Gold ETF and Bosera Gold ETF, indicating strong institutional support [4] Group 3 - Despite a 36% increase in gold prices this year, Wall Street remains bullish, with Citigroup raising its three-month gold price forecast from $3300 to $3500 per ounce [5][6] - Goldman Sachs maintains a target price of $3700 per ounce for gold by the end of 2025, driven by central bank purchases, recession risks, and concerns over the dollar's credibility [6] - UBS has reiterated its forecast of gold reaching $3700 per ounce by June 2026, suggesting a potential rise to $4000 per ounce in the event of geopolitical or economic deterioration [6]