智库·数据丨创新与网络“双引擎”发力 2024年中国经济新动能指数大幅增长

Core Insights - The economic development new momentum index for China in 2024 is projected to be 136.0, representing a 14.2% increase from 2023, indicating a significant shift towards high-quality development driven by innovation and the digital economy [1][4][10]. Group 1: Economic Resilience and Growth - In 2024, China's economy demonstrates strong resilience and vitality amidst complex internal and external environments, with the new momentum index reflecting a robust growth trajectory [4][10]. - The network economy index is particularly noteworthy, reaching 142.4 in 2024, a 16.2% increase from 2023, contributing 35.2% to the overall index growth [5][10]. Group 2: Digital Infrastructure and Consumption - By the end of 2024, the total number of 5G base stations in China is expected to reach 4.25 million, accounting for 33.6% of all mobile base stations, an increase of 4.5 percentage points from 2023 [6][10]. - The online retail sales in China are projected to reach 15.2 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of 7.2%, and the growth of physical goods online retail sales outpacing the total retail sales growth by 3.0 percentage points [6][10]. Group 3: Innovation and R&D Investment - The innovation-driven index is forecasted to be 138.5 in 2024, marking a 13.2% increase from 2023, contributing 28.5% to the overall index growth [6][10]. - Total R&D expenditure in China is expected to reach 3.6 trillion yuan in 2024, an 8.3% increase, with basic research funding growing at 10.5% [7][10]. Group 4: Economic Transformation and Quality Improvement - The economic vitality index and transformation upgrade index are projected to grow by 14.5% and 12.5% respectively in 2024, indicating a simultaneous increase in economic activity and quality [8][10]. - The proportion of non-fossil energy in total energy consumption is expected to rise by 1.8 percentage points, showcasing China's commitment to green transformation [8][10].