美联储独立性危机加剧，司法部启动刑事调查

Core Viewpoint - The investigation into Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook by the U.S. Department of Justice is seen as part of a broader effort by the Trump administration to exert pressure on the Federal Reserve and potentially undermine its independence [2][3][5]. Group 1: Investigation and Allegations - The DOJ is investigating Cook for allegedly providing false information on mortgage applications related to her properties in Michigan and Atlanta [2][3]. - Bill Pulte, appointed by Trump, accused Cook of mortgage fraud, claiming she misled banks to obtain better loan terms typically reserved for primary residences [3][5]. - Cook has filed a lawsuit against the Trump administration, asserting that the reasons for her potential dismissal are fabricated and lack legal basis [3][5]. Group 2: Implications for Federal Reserve Independence - The controversy surrounding Cook's position is escalating into a critical point regarding Trump's attempts to gain control over the Federal Reserve, which could lead to a majority of Trump-appointed members on the board [6][8]. - Economists express concern that Trump's actions may undermine the checks and balances within the U.S. system, questioning the ongoing independence of the Federal Reserve [6][7]. - A public letter signed by approximately 600 economists, including Nobel laureates, emphasizes the high threshold for removing a Federal Reserve governor and warns against actions that could weaken the central bank's independence [7]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Predictions - Goldman Sachs warns that if the credibility of the Federal Reserve is compromised, a small shift of investor holdings from U.S. Treasuries to gold could drive gold prices to unprecedented levels, potentially reaching $5,000 per ounce under extreme scenarios [3].