Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-05 02:13Group 1 - Gold stocks collectively rose, with Lingbao Gold increasing by 6.32% to HKD 16.33, China Gold International up by 3.71% to HKD 120.2, Zhaojin Mining up by 3.7% to HKD 28.04, and Zijin Mining up by 3.07% to HKD 27.5 [1] - The ADP report indicated that U.S. employment increased by 54,000 in August, which was below market expectations, while initial jobless claims for the week ending August 30 were 237,000, exceeding expectations [1] - The U.S. labor market is showing signs of cooling, reinforcing expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, with market pricing indicating a 97.4% probability of a rate cut in September [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities reported that since late April, gold has been in a volatile market due to factors such as tariff impacts, U.S. fiscal policy, geopolitical issues, and central bank gold purchases [2] - The report suggests that changes in these factors could initiate an upward trend in gold prices, with a stable trend in global central bank gold purchases [2] - Under a neutral assumption, the model predicts that gold prices could exceed USD 3,730 per ounce by the end of the year [2]