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美债收益率跳水!帮主郑重:非农前夜,这三个信号你必须看懂!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-05 04:08

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant drop in U.S. Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year yield falling by 5.6 basis points to 4.16%, marking the largest decline since disappointing non-farm payroll data in August [1] - The market is anxiously awaiting the upcoming non-farm payroll data, with a 99.4% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut in September, leading to concerns that poor data might prompt the Fed to act sooner than expected [3] - Recent actions by the U.S. Treasury, including a Q3 refinancing plan that reduced long-term debt issuance by $50 billion, have provided temporary relief to the market, although future debt issuance could increase by $2 trillion due to Trump's fiscal plans [3] Group 2 - Foreign investments are increasing in the U.S. Treasury market, with net inflows of $12.7 billion in August, particularly from China and Japan, indicating that institutional investors see value in the current yield environment [3] - September is expected to be a volatile month for the bond market, with $310 billion in corporate bonds set to be issued, potentially diverting significant capital [4] - The article warns that upcoming changes in tariff policies could elevate inflation expectations, reminiscent of last October's spike in Treasury yields, which caused substantial losses for investors [4]