Group 1 - Joint venture automakers in China have seen a significant decline in market share, dropping from 60% in 2020 to an expected 30% by 2025, leading to strategies of scaling down and cost reduction [1] - The global automotive industry's innovation and trends are rapidly shifting towards China, as evidenced by the increasing scale of Chinese auto shows compared to traditional ones in Europe and North America [1] - China currently accounts for over 30% of global automotive production and sales, with domestic brands holding over 20% market share and over 60% in the electric vehicle sector [2] Group 2 - UBS identifies three core opportunities for the Chinese automotive industry: the domestic market share is expected to rise from 70% to 90% by 2030, indicating strong competitive growth for local brands [3] - The acceleration of brand premiumization is evident as more domestic brands target the high-end market, challenging the dominance of Western automakers [3] - The export market is expanding, particularly through the Belt and Road Initiative, with annual growth of 1 million units, facilitating a transition to electric vehicles in developing countries [3] Group 3 - The Robotaxi market is projected to have significant potential, with estimates suggesting a market size of $8 billion in first-tier cities and $183 billion nationwide by the 2030s [4] - The key driver for Robotaxi development is cost reduction, with expectations that costs will fall below 300,000 RMB by the second half of 2025, enabling profitability for operators [4] - By 2029-2030, the market for lidar and autonomous driving chips is expected to reach around 50 billion RMB, with Chinese companies leading in product development and cost optimization [5][6] Group 4 - The Greater Bay Area has seen a shift in market dynamics, with local brands like BYD dominating the Hong Kong market, where electric vehicle penetration has reached 70% [6]
瑞银：Robotaxi预计2030年代全面普及 催生激光雷达和自动驾驶芯片千亿元市场规模
Zhong Guo Qi Che Bao Wang·2025-09-05 04:40