Group 1 - The world's largest gold ETF held 981.97 tons as of September 4, a decrease of 2.29 tons from the previous day, but a net increase of 24.60 tons from the previous month [1] - The US ISM Services PMI for August recorded at 52, exceeding expectations and previous values, driven by the strongest order growth in nearly a year; however, the employment index contracted for the third consecutive month [1] - The ADP employment number for August increased by only 54,000, significantly below expectations and previous values, while initial jobless claims rose to 237,000, the highest in six months, indicating a surge in corporate layoffs [1] Group 2 - Following the release of economic data, the market is pricing in a 97% probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut, with the trade deficit in July widening to $78.3 billion, primarily due to a surge in imports driven by corporate stockpiling [1] - Federal Reserve dynamics include a nomination emphasizing the independence of the Fed, ongoing criminal investigations into a Fed governor, and comments from the Fed's third-ranking official suggesting that a rate cut may be appropriate if economic conditions align with expectations [1] - Former President Trump signed a trade executive order imposing tariffs of up to 15% on most Japanese products, adding to market uncertainties [1] Group 3 - Gold prices have recently faced profit-taking after hitting historical highs, ending a seven-day rally, with spot gold closing at $3,545.70 per ounce, as the market awaits non-farm payroll data to gauge future Federal Reserve policy directions [1] - The investment strategy for gold suggests buying on dips within the range of $3,546.6 to $3,552.6, with a stop loss at $3,541.6 and target levels set between $3,556.6 and $3,562.6 [4] - For silver, the strategy also recommends buying on dips between $40.06 and $40.56, with a stop loss at $39.96 and target levels of $40.66 to $41.16 [4]
香港第一金：市场聚焦非农报告 黄金遭遇获利了结
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-05 05:48