Core Viewpoint - The upcoming oil price adjustment on September 9, 2025, is anticipated to result in an increase, following a series of price fluctuations in the domestic gasoline and diesel markets since July 2025 [1][3][5]. Price Adjustment Mechanism - The domestic gasoline and diesel price adjustment mechanism operates on a 10-working-day cycle, with five adjustments made since July 2025, resulting in a pattern of "1 increase, 2 decreases, and 2 unchanged" [3]. - In July, gasoline and diesel prices increased by 235 yuan and 225 yuan per ton, respectively, followed by a decrease of 130 yuan and 125 yuan per ton on July 15 [3]. - The overall price changes from July to August resulted in a net decrease of 75 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel [3]. Current Market Trends - As of September 5, 2025, the current pricing cycle has seen a 1.52% change in crude oil prices, with an average price of $66.06 per barrel [5]. - The anticipated increase in gasoline and diesel prices has been adjusted to approximately 75 yuan per ton, translating to a rise of about 0.06 yuan per liter [5][7]. - Despite the expectation of a price increase, the international oil market has shown signs of decline, which may impact the final adjustment outcome [7]. Future Outlook - If the current trends continue, the second price increase of the second half of the year may occur, potentially offsetting previous decreases [5][7]. - Market sentiment remains cautious due to concerns over oversupply in the crude oil market and the potential for further production increases by oil-producing countries [7].
通知：下周【油价或上涨】，全国92/95号汽油“大降超300元/吨”后，下半年“第2涨”，9月9日调价，抓紧加油！
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-05 06:40