温氏股份(300498)中报点评：养殖成本持续优化 业绩稳健兑现

Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 49.85 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.9%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.48 billion yuan, a significant increase of 195.1% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company achieved revenue of 25.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.2%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 42.83% to 1.473 billion yuan [1] Operational Analysis - The company has made significant progress in reducing costs and increasing efficiency in pig farming, with H1 2025 pig output reaching 17.93 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 24.75%, and an average selling price of 14.93 yuan/kg. The comprehensive cost of pig farming was 12.4 yuan/kg in H1 2025, which is expected to decrease to below 12 yuan/kg by the end of the year [2] - The company sold 598 million yellow feathered chickens in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.2%. Despite a decline in prices leading to losses, there is an expectation of profitability for the full year as prices have started to recover [2] - The company's debt ratio has been decreasing, with a debt ratio of 50.57% as of Q2 2025, down 2.6 percentage points from the previous quarter. This indicates a stable operational performance and potential for continued cost reduction [2] Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 8.63 billion yuan, 13.26 billion yuan, and 15.29 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year changes of -6.5%, +53.7%, and +15.2% respectively. Corresponding EPS is projected to be 1.3 yuan, 2.0 yuan, and 2.3 yuan [3] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE valuation of 14X, 9X, and 8X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a maintained "buy" rating [3]