高晓峰：9.5黄金历史高位回落，今夜非农或引爆下一波行情

Group 1 - The recent economic data from the United States has shown weakness, reinforcing market expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain a dovish stance [1] - The 30-year Treasury yield has retreated from the critical 5% level, with short-term Treasury yields also declining [1] - The dollar has remained resilient against most currencies recently, but has dropped approximately 8% since the beginning of the year [1] Group 2 - The market widely anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the upcoming September meeting [1] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is a focal point for investors to gauge future monetary policy direction, with expectations of 75,000 new jobs [1] - The previous month's data significantly missed expectations, causing market volatility, making the actual results of this month's data particularly critical [1] Group 3 - Gold prices have experienced a technical correction after reaching historical highs, ending a seven-day rally and dropping to around $3,510 [3] - Currently, gold is consolidating in the range of $3,545 to $3,555, with key resistance and support levels identified at $3,560 and $3,535 respectively [3] - The performance of the non-farm payroll data will likely determine the direction of gold prices, with potential for a drop below the $3,500 mark if the data is weak [3]