Broadcom: AVGO Stock's Path To $600

Core Viewpoint - Broadcom's stock is experiencing significant growth due to strong quarterly earnings and new customer acquisitions for its custom AI chips, with expectations for accelerated revenue growth in the coming year [2][4]. Group 1: Growth Drivers - Broadcom's partnerships with major hyperscalers like Google and Meta for custom AI chips are crucial for its growth, with a recent announcement of securing a fourth major customer valued at $10 billion [4]. - The shift in the AI market from training to inference plays to Broadcom's strengths, as demand for high-performance, power-efficient inference chips is increasing [5]. - Continuous product innovation, including the release of Tomahawk 6 and Tomahawk Ultra networking chips, enhances Broadcom's competitive edge in AI infrastructure [6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The acquisition of VMware has transformed Broadcom into a significant player in infrastructure software, with VMware's revenue increasing by 43% year-over-year to $6.8 billion in Q3 fiscal 2025 [7]. - Revenue is projected to grow from approximately $60 billion to over $105 billion by 2028, primarily driven by AI and VMware segments [8]. - Broadcom's adjusted net income margins are around 50%, indicating that revenue growth will have a magnified effect on earnings, potentially doubling adjusted EPS from $6.29 to $12 by 2028 [9]. Group 3: Valuation and Market Position - For Broadcom's stock to double, it must maintain a premium valuation, currently over 50 times trailing adjusted earnings, which could support a stock price of around $600 if EPS reaches $12 [10]. - The company’s ability to sustain a premium valuation is contingent on demonstrating continued AI revenue growth above 40% and capturing additional market share [10]. Group 4: Market Leadership - Broadcom holds a dominant position in high-growth markets such as AI networking and custom silicon, supported by high switching costs and deep customer commitments [18]. - The company operates with best-in-class profitability and cash flow margins, reinforcing its market leadership [18].