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大行评级|小摩:预计上季半导体及设备行业业绩符合或优于预期,予博通、英伟达等“增持”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-22 07:25
摩根大通发表报告指,进入半导体/半导体设备行业第四季度业绩期(及更广泛的2026年),该行预期企业 将公布符合或优于预期的第四季度业绩,同时对第一季度及2026年全年展望提供建设性评论,这将推动 该行近几季所见的正面盈利修正趋势得以延续。该行继续青睐首选标的:博通、迈威尔科技、英伟达、 亚德诺、美光科技、科磊及新思科技,评级"增持"。 ...
博通打算做空英伟达
3 6 Ke· 2026-01-22 02:42
刚刚,我看了高盛发布的一份报告。 发布时间是1月20日。名字比较长,叫 《Inference Cost Curve: Comparing AI Compute Solutions (GPUs vs. ASICs)》(中文直译:《推理成本曲线:AI 计算方案对比(GPU vs. ASIC)》)。 核心观点是,随着谷歌和博通(Broadcom)的最新一代 TPU v7 芯片量产,它单位算力的推理成本居 然暴降了 70%。 01 这 70% 降幅,到底意味着啥?要只看硬件参数,估计有人会觉得「不就是芯片常规升级嘛」。 但高盛想表达的核心是,这 70% 的降幅,本质上,要在物理规则层面打破行业原有逻辑了。 这话该怎么理解?要掰扯清楚,我得先把「推理」和「训练」这两个词拆开来讲明白。 过去两年,AI 行业都处在「造车」的阶段,说白了,训练大模型。谁的引擎,也就是算力,够强,谁 就能最先造出「布加迪」这种顶级模型。 那时,英伟达的H100/H200 是独有的选择,哪怕贵到离谱,大家也得咬牙买,就因为它的速度最快。 但现在不一样了,车基本造好了,该进入「跑车接客」的阶段了,也就是做模型推理。这时,老板们最 关心:每跑一公里 ...
今日国际国内财经新闻精华摘要|2026年1月22日
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-22 00:55
一、国际新闻 国际市场方面,美国天然气期货价格出现显著上涨,盘中涨幅一度扩大至30%,现报5.083美元/百万英 热,此前曾分别录得29%、28%及27%的涨幅,价格逐步攀升至5.043美元、5.009美元和4.963美元/百万 英热。 贵金属市场则呈现下跌态势,现货黄金和纽约期金价格持续下探,现货黄金先后失守4820、4810、 4800、4790美元/盎司,日内跌幅分别达0.25%、0.44%、0.64%、0.86%;纽约期金同步失守上述关口, 日内跌幅为0.36%、0.57%、0.78%、0.98%。 现货白银和纽约期银同样承压,现货白银失守93、92、91美元/盎司,日内跌幅分别为1.68%、2.93%、 3.74%;纽约期银对应失守上述关口,日内跌幅为1.79%、2.97%、3.87%。 美股市场表现强劲,三大指数均收涨超1%,道指涨1.21%,纳指涨1.18%,标普500指数涨1.16%;盘中 道指一度涨1.06%至49000.391点,纳指涨1.09%至23204.431点,标普500指数涨1.04%至6867.240点。 个股方面,英特尔涨超11%,创四年来最高水平;AMD涨8.3%,闪迪涨超 ...
英特尔涨11.7%,AMD涨7.1%,美光科技涨6.6%,英伟达涨2.9%
财联社· 2026-01-22 00:39
美东时间周三,在美国总统特朗普取消针对欧洲国家的新一轮关税、并称已就格陵兰问题达成"协议框架"后,美国股市大幅反弹,三大指数 均涨超1%。 截至收盘,道琼斯指数涨1.21%,报49,077.23点;标普500指数涨1.16%,报6,875.62点;纳斯达克指数涨1.18%,报23,224.82点。 特朗普周三在瑞士达沃斯举行的世界经济论坛上发表讲话,表示不会动用武力获取格陵兰,这一表态提振了股市。 随后,特朗普在其自创社交平台Truth Social上表示:"基于我与北约秘书长马克·吕特进行的一次极富成效的会谈,我们已经就格陵兰问 题,事实上也是就整个北极地区,形成了一项未来协议的框架。基于这一共识,我将不会实施原定于2月1日生效的关税措施。" Argent Capital Management 投资组合经理Jed Ellerbroek表示:"特朗普总统非常不可预测,而且他变卦的速度极快。股市已经不再假定 他的表态一定会被执行。如果投资者真的相信与欧洲在格陵兰问题上的冲突会演变成重大的地缘政治裂痕,市场的跌幅绝不只是昨天的 2%。" 热门股表现 大型科技股多数上涨, 英伟达涨2.95%, 苹果涨0.39% , ...
韩国半导体出口暴增超70%!费城半导体指数创历史新高,全球抢芯大战升级
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2026-01-22 00:23
芯片传来重磅信号。 据最新数据,今年前20天,号称全球经济"金丝雀"的韩国出口半导体总金额达107.3亿美元(约合人民 币747亿元),同比大幅增长超70%。这预示着,在AI(人工智能)浪潮下,全球半导体需求仍非常强 劲。受此影响,存储芯片巨头三星电子股价直线拉升,21日盘中一度大涨超3%。 昨晚,芯片股普遍上涨,费城半导体指数涨3.18%,刷新历史新高,英特尔涨超11%,超威半导体涨逾 7%,美光科技涨超6%,ARM涨逾6%,微芯科技涨超4%,博通跌逾1%。 在此之前,美股存储芯片概念股周二也全线飙涨,闪迪一度暴涨超10%。有机构分析指出,本轮存储芯 片涨价并非短期市场情绪驱动,而是由"先进制程产能受限"与"AI服务器需求刚性增长"双重因素共同作 用,其持续性明显强于历史周期。 暴增超70% 当地时间1月21日,韩国海关部门披露的数据显示,2026年1月1日至20日期间,韩国出口额达到363.6亿 美元,同比增长14.95%;韩国进口额为369.8亿美元,同比增长4.2%,贸易逆差约为6亿美元。 从产品类别看,本月前20天,韩国半导体出口额达107.3亿美元,同比大幅增长70.2%,占出口总额的 29.5% ...
Here is Why Growth Investors Should Buy Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Now
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 18:46
Growth investors focus on stocks that are seeing above-average financial growth, as this feature helps these securities garner the market's attention and deliver solid returns. However, it isn't easy to find a great growth stock.By their very nature, these stocks carry above-average risk and volatility. Moreover, if a company's growth story is over or nearing its end, betting on it could lead to significant loss.However, it's pretty easy to find cutting-edge growth stocks with the help of the Zacks Growth S ...
My AI Is Smarter Than Your AI
Etftrends· 2026-01-21 18:42
Group 1: AI Impact on Economy and Capital Markets - Artificial Intelligence (AI) presents both significant opportunities and threats to the economy and capital markets, with the potential to enhance productivity and create new industries while also posing risks of labor displacement [2][6][8] - In 2025, AI-related companies like NVIDIA, Palantir, and Alphabet saw substantial stock gains, indicating strong market interest and investment in AI technologies [4][12] - AI's ability to automate tasks and improve efficiency could lead to a productivity boost, which is crucial for economic growth, especially in aging economies [6][7] Group 2: Market Valuations and Concentration - The S&P 500 Index shows a high concentration, with the top ten companies accounting for nearly 40% of the index, raising concerns about overvaluation and lack of diversification for investors [11][12][13] - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the top ten S&P 500 companies is significantly higher than historical averages, suggesting that these stocks may be overvalued [12][15] - Elevated valuations could lead to lower future returns, as higher purchase prices for earnings result in diminished return on investment [15] Group 3: Financing and Investment Risks - AI companies are engaging in vendor financing arrangements, creating a feedback loop where investments are made based on projected growth, which raises concerns about sustainability and profitability [16][17] - The reliance on private credit markets for financing AI initiatives has increased, with many companies borrowing significant amounts, which could lead to risks if these companies fail to generate expected revenues [18][19] - The mismatch between the rapid evolution of technology and the long-term nature of private credit loans poses additional risks, as companies may struggle to keep up with advancements while repaying older debts [20][21] Group 4: Global Investment Opportunities - Despite concerns in the US market, there are attractive investment opportunities in undervalued assets globally, particularly in emerging markets and specific sectors like technology and healthcare [24][25] - Emerging markets are benefiting from positive demographics and structural growth, making them compelling investment options compared to developed markets [25] - The potential for a weaker dollar could further enhance the attractiveness of non-US investments, providing a hedge against domestic economic challenges [24]
Nvidia, Broadcom, Marvell Poised To Benefit From AI-Driven Semiconductor Upswing, JPMorgan Says
Benzinga· 2026-01-21 17:20
JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur, in a note on Wednesday, said the semiconductor and semiconductor capital equipment group is entering the fourth quarter of 2025 earnings season with AI-driven demand and improving cyclical trends that should keep fundamentals supportive into 2026.Earnings Season Setup Supports OutperformanceSur expects companies to deliver fourth-quarter results that come in line with or modestly above expectations and to pair those reports with constructive commentary on first-quarter and full- ...
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 15:31
The recommendations of Wall Street analysts are often relied on by investors when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. Media reports about these brokerage-firm-employed (or sell-side) analysts changing their ratings often affect a stock's price. Do they really matter, though?Let's take a look at what these Wall Street heavyweights have to say about Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) before we discuss the reliability of brokerage recommendations and how to use them to your advantage.Broadcom Inc. currently has ...
【买卖芯片找老王】260121 美光/华邦/三星/南亚/英飞凌/ST/Marvell/ON
芯世相· 2026-01-21 09:30
算笔账 一批十万的呆料压在库存 每月仓储费➕资金成本至少5k 放半年就亏3万 有料单不知道怎么推广? 芯片超人已经 累计服务2.2万用户 ,打折清库存,最快半天完成交易! 找不到,卖不掉,价格还想再好 点 ,都可以来找我们! 求购以下料号 | 品牌 | 型号 | 数量 | | --- | --- | --- | | 镁光 | MT53E512M32D1ZW-046 IT:B | 4K | | 赛灵思 | XCR3128XL‑10CSG144C | 400 | | 赛灵思 | XCR3128XL‑10CSG144I | 400 | | ADI | AD8552ARZ | 20K | | ADI | AD7794CRUZ | 2K | | ALTERA | EPCQ128ASI16N | 2000 | 优势物料,特价出售 | 品牌 | 型号 | 年份 | 数量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | MICRON | MT40A512M16TB-062E:R | 25+ | 2040 | | MICRON | MTC40F2046S1RC56BD2R | 25+ | 10K | | MICRO ...