Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-05 10:48Core Viewpoint - The upcoming adjustment of the Hang Seng Index on September 5 will include China Telecom, JD Logistics, and Pop Mart, increasing the number of constituent stocks from 85 to 88, which is expected to attract passive fund inflows and lead to significant trading volume and price volatility for these stocks [2][3]. Group 1: Index Adjustments - The inclusion of China Telecom, JD Logistics, and Pop Mart in the Hang Seng Index is anticipated to draw passive investment, resulting in increased trading activity and price fluctuations for these stocks [2][3]. - Pop Mart will also be added to the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, while other stocks like Crown City Watch and Jewelry and Sipai Health will be removed from the index [2]. - The Hang Seng Composite Index will see an increase in constituent stocks from 502 to 504, with the inclusion of China Foods and Heng Rui Pharmaceutical [2]. Group 2: Market Impact - Historical trends indicate that active funds often position themselves ahead of index announcements, leading to noticeable volatility in related stocks prior to the effective date [3]. - Passive funds typically adjust their holdings on the last trading day before the effective date, which may result in a surge in trading volume and price movements, particularly for small-cap stocks [3]. - The adjustment is expected to enhance market confidence in the relevant sectors and stocks, as the Hong Kong market is viewed as a "global value trap" with low valuations providing a good margin of safety for investors [3]. Group 3: Fund Inflows - Goldman Sachs estimates that consumer retail, software and services, and automotive stocks will see the most passive fund inflows, ranging from $300 million to $780 million [4]. - Specific stocks like Horizon Robotics, Pop Mart, BYD, Meituan, Xiaomi, and Alibaba are projected to receive significant net buying, estimated between $185 million to $610 million [4]. Group 4: Company Profiles - China Telecom is a leading player in the telecommunications industry, focusing on 5G construction and cloud computing, reflecting the importance of traditional industry leaders in the index [5]. - JD Logistics represents the new economy logistics sector, highlighting the index's focus on high-growth and core supply chain enterprises [5]. - Pop Mart, as a representative of the trendy toy culture, has seen significant growth in market capitalization and liquidity since its listing, becoming a key player in the new consumption sector [5]. - BYD is a global leader in electric vehicle manufacturing, with a diverse business portfolio that includes passenger cars, commercial vehicles, batteries, semiconductors, and mobile components, exemplifying technological innovation and the green energy transition [5]. - Meituan is a leading e-commerce platform in China, covering a wide range of services and representing the platform and digital economy through innovative business models [5].