Guan Cha Zhe Wang·2025-09-05 11:06Core Viewpoint - The sales surge of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in the U.S. market is expected to rapidly decline after the expiration of government subsidies [1][2]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In August, U.S. new car sales increased by 3.7% year-on-year, with NEVs significantly contributing to this growth [1]. - NEVs accounted for 11% of total sales in August, up from 8% in previous months [1]. Group 2: Impact of Subsidy Expiration - The U.S. government’s electric vehicle subsidies, which provide up to $7,500 for new cars and $4,000 for used cars, will end on September 30 [1][2]. - Major automakers are taking preemptive measures in response to the anticipated decline in NEV sales, including layoffs and production cuts [2]. Group 3: Company Responses - General Motors plans to halve the production of electric vehicles at its Spring Hill, Tennessee plant starting December and will halt production for two weeks in October and November [2][3]. - Volkswagen is also reducing production of its electric SUV ID.4 in Tennessee and temporarily laying off 160 employees to align production with market demand [3]. - Rivian has laid off over 200 employees and plans to introduce a lower-priced SUV model next year to counter policy risks and boost sales [3]. Group 4: Regulatory Changes - The "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill signed by Trump also ends penalties for automakers that fail to meet fuel economy standards, which could significantly impact revenue for companies like Tesla and Rivian that rely on carbon credit sales [3]. - The automotive industry has faced turmoil over the past year, with tariffs reducing profits by over $12 billion and policy changes further weakening the outlook for electric vehicles [4].