美元跳水、黄金爆拉！8月非农大爆冷，美联储年内或降息三次？

Group 1 - The U.S. labor market showed significant cooling in August, with non-farm payrolls increasing by only 22,000, well below the expected 75,000 [5][8] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.3%, the highest level in nearly four years, with the number of unemployed increasing from 7.236 million to 7.384 million [8][11] - The healthcare sector led job growth with an addition of 31,000 jobs, while durable goods and business services saw the largest losses, with declines of 19,000 and 17,000 jobs respectively [5][6] Group 2 - The market is now betting heavily on the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, with the probability of a 25 basis point cut in September at 88% and a 50 basis point cut at 12% [9][11] - The likelihood of three rate cuts by the end of the year has increased to 71%, up from 46% the previous day [11][12] - The report has solidified expectations for a rate cut in September, with analysts suggesting that the weak job growth will influence the Fed's decision [11][12]