美国衰退可能高达93%川普迅速向五角大楼下任务，直言美国输不起

Group 1 - The core argument revolves around the financial implications of Trump's military revitalization efforts, which are heavily dependent on tariff revenues that are now under legal threat [1][5][9] - The recent court ruling declaring most global tariffs illegal poses a significant financial challenge for the U.S., potentially leading to a loss of revenue in the trillions of dollars [1][3][4] - The U.S. is facing a critical juncture where rising debt levels, projected to exceed $37 trillion, are leading to soaring interest payments, surpassing defense spending for the first time [4][8] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, while aimed at alleviating debt service pressures, could exacerbate inflation risks, complicating the economic landscape for the Trump administration [5][6] - The economic slowdown, indicated by a 93% recession risk according to UBS, is reflected in stagnant economic activities and rising consumer prices, further straining fiscal resources [3][4][8] - Trump's strategy of using tariffs as a fiscal tool to support military spending is now facing significant obstacles, as global investors show declining interest in U.S. debt, leading to concerns about the sustainability of U.S. financial dominance [8][9][11]