Ge Long Hui·2025-09-05 20:21Core Viewpoint - Geely Automobile reported strong sales and revenue growth in August 2025, indicating a positive trend in the company's performance and market position [1] Sales Performance - In August 2025, Geely's wholesale sales reached 250,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 38% and a month-on-month increase of 5.2% [1] - Domestic sales accounted for 214,000 units, up 58% year-on-year, while exports were 36,000 units, down 22% year-on-year [1] - The Galaxy brand showed significant growth, with sales of 111,000 units in August, a year-on-year increase of 320% [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Geely achieved revenue of 150.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27%, and a core net profit of 6.7 billion yuan, up 100% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 77.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28%, and a net profit of 3.6 billion yuan, up 19 billion yuan year-on-year [1] Strategic Developments - Geely is advancing its electric and intelligent transformation, with new models set to launch, including the Galaxy M9 and Lynk & Co 10 EM-P [1] - The company has raised its 2025 sales target from 2.71 million to 3 million units, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory [1] - The integration of Geely, Galaxy, Lynk & Co, and Zeekr brands is expected to enhance cost efficiency and drive profitability [1] Future Outlook - The company forecasts total sales of 3.02 million, 3.4 million, and 3.96 million units for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 53%, 13%, and 16% respectively [1] - Geely's long-term strategy includes building an AI ecosystem through industry chain integration, which is anticipated to enhance competitiveness and business model [1] Investment Recommendations - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards to 353.5 billion, 449.7 billion, and 530.1 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 47%, 27%, and 18% [2] - The net profit estimates have also been revised to 16 billion, 21.8 billion, and 26.6 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 10.8, 7.9, and 6.5 [2] - The target price is set at 26.04 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 39%, maintaining a "strong buy" rating [2]