现在就是必须用大招的时候，经济学家马光远：只需五招即可稳楼市

Core Viewpoint - The current real estate market is at a critical juncture for stabilization, with the government signaling strong measures to support this trend [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - Real estate development investment has declined by over 30%, and housing prices have generally dropped by more than 30%, with major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen seeing prices fall to 2016 levels [3] - Predictions suggest that housing prices in China may have an additional decline potential of 25% to 30%, leading to a total drop exceeding 60%, resulting in a loss of over 200 trillion yuan in national wealth [3] Group 2: Proposed Measures - Five key measures are proposed to stabilize the real estate market, focusing on addressing public concerns about unfinished projects and price drops [6] - A commitment to prevent project defaults and ensure that capable developers do not go bankrupt due to funding issues is essential [6] - Implementing a price guarantee for homebuyers, such as compensating for price drops within a year, could alleviate fears and change market expectations [6] Group 3: Housing Demand and Urban Renewal - There is a significant need for urban renewal, as over 60% of homes were built before 1998, indicating a large potential for improvement [8] - Policies should be designed to address the housing needs of migrant workers and new urban residents, which could positively impact market expectations [10] - The government’s approach to providing housing solutions for young people and new city residents aligns with the proposed measures and could lead to immediate market changes [10]