美联储降息在即,金价冲向5000美元?现在买黄金还能赚到吗
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-06 01:49

Group 1: Market Overview - The international gold price is experiencing a significant rise, reaching new historical highs, while domestic gold jewelry prices show a contrasting trend with some brands decreasing prices [1][2] - Domestic gold stores are adjusting their prices subtly, with notable decreases observed in brands like Chow Sang Sang and Lao Feng Xiang, indicating a competitive pricing environment [1][2] Group 2: International Market Dynamics - The international gold market is characterized by a strong upward momentum, with spot gold prices fluctuating around $3545.53 to $3621.80 per ounce, marking a continuous increase over several days [2][3] - The COMEX gold futures have also seen a consistent rise, closing at $3619.7 per ounce, reflecting robust investor interest [2] Group 3: Influencing Factors - Market expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut are driving gold prices higher, with traders predicting a 68% chance of a 25 basis point cut in September [3][10] - The demand for gold as a safe-haven asset is increasing due to global economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks [8][10] Group 4: Platinum Market Challenges - In stark contrast to gold, platinum jewelry prices are declining sharply, with brands like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Feng Xiang reporting significant drops, reflecting a lack of demand in the market [4][6] - The recovery market for platinum is also weak, with low buyback prices indicating a general disinterest in platinum as an investment [6] Group 5: Recovery Market Activity - The gold recovery market is notably active, with varying buyback prices across different brands, providing opportunities for investors to capitalize on price discrepancies [8][10] - The buyback prices for different gold purities also highlight the market's pricing strategies, with 22K gold at 707 yuan per gram and 18K gold at 576 yuan per gram [8] Group 6: Institutional Support and Future Outlook - Central banks globally are planning to increase their gold holdings, with China's central bank having added to its reserves for 18 consecutive months, supporting gold prices in the long term [11][12] - Institutional confidence in gold is reflected in the rising holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, which have increased by 12% since the beginning of the year [11][12] - Market forecasts for gold prices are optimistic, with predictions suggesting potential increases to $3730 per ounce by year-end and even $4000 per ounce by mid-2026 [12][14]