2025中亚电商市场洞察报告

Core Insights - The Central Asian e-commerce market is rapidly emerging as a significant force in digital trade, driven by mobile internet proliferation, a young population, and government digitalization strategies [1] Market Overview - The population of Central Asia is projected to reach 83.57 million by 2025, maintaining positive growth over the past five years [2][11] - The region's GDP is expected to grow from $513.3 billion in 2024 to $773.97 billion by 2029, with per capita GDP rising from $6,200 to $8,720 [2][13] - Internet penetration is forecasted to reach 80.8% by 2025, surpassing the global average, while mobile internet penetration is expected to rise to 73.85% [2][15] E-commerce Market Size - The e-commerce market in Central Asia is projected to grow from $14.7 billion in 2024 to $182.2 billion by 2033, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 30.63% [2][17][18] - E-commerce revenue is expected to increase from $5.842 billion in 2024 to $9.807 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 9.24% from 2025 to 2029 [2][20] Popular Categories - Electronics are the core consumer category, with revenue expected to rise from $1.105 billion in 2024 to $1.596 billion by 2030 [3][29] - Fashion products are also in high demand, with revenue projected to grow from $2.661 billion in 2024 to $3.419 billion by 2030 [3] - The food e-commerce sector is anticipated to expand from $1.423 billion in 2024 to $2.929 billion by 2030 [3] Country Analysis - Kazakhstan, as the largest economy in Central Asia, is expected to have an internet penetration rate of 92.9% by 2025, with an e-commerce market penetration rate of 28.12% in 2024 [3] - Uzbekistan, with the highest population, is projected to have an e-commerce revenue of $2.592 billion by 2029 [3] - Kyrgyzstan's e-commerce revenue is expected to reach $867 million by 2029, while Tajikistan and Turkmenistan are forecasted to have revenues of $575 million and $531 million, respectively [3] Market Development - International e-commerce platforms are the primary shopping channels for Central Asian consumers, with significant contributions from Russian, American, and Chinese platforms [4] - Social commerce is gaining traction, driven by the popularity of platforms like Instagram, Telegram, and WhatsApp [4] - Challenges include insufficient competitiveness of local platforms, low mobile payment usage, and high logistics costs in some countries [4]