沙特力推“增产”，油价守得住60美元吗？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates a significant increase in oil options trading activity, with investors betting on Brent crude oil prices falling below the critical psychological level of $60 per barrel [1] - The trading volume of $55 put options reached a new high since early April, coinciding with OPEC's unexpected announcement of a supply increase [2] - The market's desire for protection against downside risks has surged, with the price of December $60 put options rising from $0.59 to $1.35 in just three days, marking the highest premium for puts over calls since early August [3] Group 2 - Saudi Arabia is pushing for an early increase in production before the planned restoration of supply next year, aiming to regain market share lost to competitors [5] - Further production increases could exacerbate the risk of oversupply, threatening forecasts of a surplus in the fourth quarter [6] - Analysts expect a global oil surplus to emerge by the end of the year, with Goldman Sachs predicting a potential drop in Brent crude prices to $50 per barrel by the end of 2026 due to increased supply from non-OPEC countries [7]