美国破产进入倒计时？特朗普发财梦碎了一地，日韩欧松了口气

Core Viewpoint - Trump's economic plans are facing unprecedented challenges due to recent political developments in the U.S., particularly regarding his tariff policies, which may lead to significant consequences for the U.S. economy and its global standing [1][3]. Group 1: Tariff Policy Challenges - A recent ruling by the U.S. Court of Appeals declared Trump's tariff policies unconstitutional, leading to an immediate halt in their execution [3]. - Trump's team has appealed to the Supreme Court, seeking to overturn this ruling, which reflects ongoing judicial challenges to his tariff policies [4]. - The Supreme Court's conservative majority may provide some advantage to Trump, but the controversy surrounding the tariff policies is greater than anticipated [4]. Group 2: Economic Implications - The trade agreements with the EU, Japan, and South Korea involve supply chains worth hundreds of billions of dollars, with potential global trade impacts exceeding one trillion dollars [4]. - Economists warn that forced supply chain restructuring could disrupt global industry layouts, increase production costs, and potentially lead to inflationary pressures in the U.S. [7]. - Historical evidence suggests that while protectionist measures may yield short-term gains, they ultimately weaken national economic competitiveness [7]. Group 3: Geopolitical and Domestic Reactions - Trump's aggressive trade strategies are eroding U.S. international credibility, with European leaders expressing dissatisfaction and allies like Japan and South Korea diversifying their supply chains away from the U.S. [11]. - Domestically, there is growing opposition to Trump's tariff policies, even among some Republicans, with concerns that these measures exacerbate federal financial burdens [13]. - The Supreme Court's eventual ruling on the tariff policies could significantly impact Trump's political standing and the future of U.S. trade policy [13].