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Prediction: This Underrated AI Stock Could Be the Next $4 Trillion Giant
AlphabetAlphabet(US:GOOG) The Motley Foolยท2025-09-06 16:15

Core Viewpoint - Alphabet is positioned to potentially become the world's largest company, with a market cap of approximately $2.8 trillion and the possibility of reaching $4 trillion in the coming years [1][17]. Group 1: Search Advantage - The recent court ruling allowed Alphabet to maintain its search advantages, removing significant risks associated with the Department of Justice's antitrust case [2][3]. - Alphabet retains ownership of Chrome and Android, and can continue its exclusive search deal with Apple, although contracts must now be renewed annually [3][4]. - With nearly 70% of the world using Chrome and Android powering about 75% of smartphones, Alphabet's distribution network solidifies its position as a primary gateway to the internet [4]. Group 2: AI Integration - AI is enhancing Alphabet's search capabilities rather than detracting from them, with over 2 billion users engaging with AI Overviews monthly [5]. - The rollout of AI Mode allows users to switch between traditional search and chatbot-style results, contributing to accelerated search revenue growth [5][6]. - Alphabet's innovations in AI search, such as Lens and Circle to Search, are driving incremental queries with commercial intent [6]. Group 3: Cloud Computing Growth - Google Cloud has emerged as a significant growth engine for Alphabet, with a 32% revenue increase last quarter and a doubling of operating income [9]. - The company has developed custom AI chips, Tensor Processing Units, to optimize AI workloads, enhancing cost and performance [10]. - Alphabet is aggressively expanding its infrastructure, increasing its capex budget by $10 billion to $85 billion to build new data centers, indicating strong demand [11]. Group 4: Emerging Opportunities - YouTube continues to dominate online video, while Waymo is expanding its robotaxi service, which could become a major business if autonomous driving gains traction [12]. - Progress in quantum computing, particularly with Alphabet's Willow chip, shows potential for future advancements despite existing challenges [13]. Group 5: Valuation and Market Position - Despite recent stock highs, Alphabet's forward P/E ratio of 21 is lower than peers like Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon, suggesting attractive valuation [15][16]. - If Alphabet were to trade at a similar multiple of 30, it could already be valued at $4 trillion [16]. - With strong positions in search and streaming, along with growth opportunities in AI, cloud computing, robotaxis, and quantum computing, Alphabet is well-positioned to potentially become the largest company by the end of the decade [17].