证券研究报告|投资策略周报 [Table_Date] 2026 年 3 月 2 日 [Table_Title] OpenAI 再获千亿美元融资，泡泡玛特加速推出新 IP [Table_Title2] 海外周观点 [Table_Summary] 核心内容: ► Claude 被美政府封杀后，登顶 APP Store 下载榜 据财联社，特朗普政府最新下令，要求联邦机构及与 军方合作的承包商停止与 Anthropic 公司开展业务往 来。此前，Anthropic 公司拒绝了五角大楼的要求， 不允许军方在无任何限制的情况下使用其人工智能技 术。与此同时， OpenAI 迅速补位，官宣与五角大楼达 成协议。根据 Sensor Tower 数据显示，周六（2 月 28 日 ） Claude 登 顶 App Atore 下 载 榜 ， 前 三 名为 Claude、ChatGPT、Gemini。Anthropic 坚守两条红 线：不进行大规模监视、不开发自主武器。此做法受 到民众的认同，收获了一波流量红利，许多网民通过 下载、订阅表示对 Claude 的支持。 ► OpenAI：再获千亿美元融资 2 月 27 日，OpenA ...

证券研究报告 1、全球AI产业仍在快速发展。美国科技巨头在2026年仍在进一步加码AI相关基建投资，希望获得未来竞争优势。其共识可能是：过度投资的风险小 于投资不足的风险。而2026年以Anthropic为代表的大模型公司发布了一系列AI Agent产品，显示出AI相关应用的落地速度较快。AI的发展在短期内可 能会产生一定的通缩效应，但长期影响则值得期待。对中国而言，AI发展的空间与潜力也非常可观。 2、AI产业链持续拉动中国出口增长。2025年3-4月美国关税宣布后，AI产品与其他产品出口趋势发生了明显分野：AI产品出口增速继续向上，其他产 品出口增速则开始回落，2025年8月关税落地后其他产品增速中枢进一步回落。美国科技巨头四季报电话会给出的全年资本开支指引大幅上调，若实 际开支按照此指引执行，2026年AI产品出口同比或将再创新高，为2026年出口韧性带来支撑，预计2026年出口或在4.8%-5.6%之间。 提质增效，科技突围 ——2026年春季宏观展望 姓名 何宁（分析师） 证书编号：S0790522110002 邮箱：hening@kysec.cn 姓名 陈策（分析师） 证书编号：S07905240 ...

Austin, March 01, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Cloud Native Security Service Market size was valued at USD 44.62 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 129.23 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of 11.22% over the forecast period. Government laws requiring data protection compliance, the growing frequency of assaults on cloud-native settings, and organizational demands for automated incident response and real-time threat visibility are all factors propelling the market's expansion. Download PDF Samp ...

Core Viewpoint - Quantum computing stocks are experiencing significant declines, with IonQ down 34%, Rigetti Computing down 32%, and D-Wave Quantum also facing similar challenges. Despite the drop, these stocks are not considered bargains, and there are better investment options in the quantum computing space [1]. Valuation Concerns - Valuations in the quantum computing sector remain unrealistic, with IonQ trading at 99 times sales, D-Wave at 217 times sales, and Rigetti at approximately 600 times sales. The revenue supporting these multiples is minimal, with D-Wave generating $3.7 million and IonQ about $40 million in their most recent quarters. These companies are increasing their cash burn rates instead of reducing losses as they scale [4]. Growth Potential and Timeline Issues - Investment in these companies hinges on their potential for future revenue growth, but there is excessive growth already priced into their stock values. The timeline for significant returns from quantum technology is uncertain, with no clear indication of when or if it will materialize [5]. Commercialization Timeline - A recent MIT report indicates that large-scale commercial applications of quantum computing are likely many years away. Morningstar's analysis suggests early commercialization could be 5 to 10 years off, while general-use quantum computing may take up to 20 years to develop, raising concerns about funding operating losses during this period [6]. Alternative Investment Strategies - Alphabet (GOOG) is highlighted as having a leading quantum research program, with significant resources to support ongoing quantum R&D. The company has achieved a major breakthrough with its Willow chip and continues to grow its core business, including a 17% increase in Google Search revenue and a 48% surge in Google Cloud revenue [7][9]. - International Business Machines (IBM) also possesses a strong quantum program, supported by a substantial R&D budget. IBM generated $67.5 billion in revenue last year, including a decade-high $14.7 billion in free cash flow, making it a viable option for quantum exposure without the risks associated with pure-play companies [10][12].

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 1 Mar 2026 中国电子 China (Overseas) Technology 谷歌 TPU 切入 Meta 核心训练池 Google TPUs Enter Meta's Core Training Stack 姚书桥 Barney Yao 吴叡霖 Louis Ng barney.sq.yao@htisec.com louis.yl.ng@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] 热点速评 Flash Analysis [Table_summary] (Please see APPENDIX 1 for English summary) 事件 Meta 已与 Google 签署多年期协议，将以租用方式使用 Google 自研 AI 芯片 TPU，用于训练与开发新一代 AI 模型，合 同规模达数十亿美元。报道同时提到，Meta 也在评估更进一步合作，包含最早明年在其自建数据中心采购并部署 TPU 的可能性。 对先进封装、HBM、多源拉动。无论 GPU 还是 TPU，核心瓶颈仍是 HBM 供给、系统互连、机房电力与散热。多极化 ...

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard. Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences. At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000 ...

When Jeff Bezos said that one breakthrough technology would shape Amazon’s destiny, even Wall Street’s biggest analysts were caught off guard. Fast forward a year and Amazon’s new CEO Andy Jassy described generative AI as a “once-in-a-lifetime” technology that is already being used across Amazon to reinvent customer experiences. At the 8th Future Investment Initiative conference, Elon Musk predicted that by 2040 there would be at least 10 billion humanoid robots, with each priced between $20,000 and $25,000 ...

1）英伟达发布 4Q25 业绩，单季度每股盈利 1.62 美元，较分析师预期的 1.53 美元高出 5.81%，同比+82.02%；单季度 营收 681.27 亿美元，较分析师预期的 660.03 亿美元高出 3.22%，同比+73.21%。同时公司给出 1Q26 780 亿美元业绩 指引，超分析师预期的 727.8 亿美元，整体业绩&指引双 beat。但从股价看市场反应温和，我们认为主要系担心竞争 格局、预期交易充分的原因。展望 3 月，NVIDIA GTC 大会即将开幕。将首次公开下一代核心产品 Feynman 芯片，且将 搭载全球首款 1.6nm 制程工艺，同时我们预计有望展示 CPO 交换机、rubin ultra 等方案，或将给再催化光通信板块。 2）旭创发布业绩快报，2025 年全年收入 382.40 亿元，我们测算对应 4Q25 单季度收入 132.35 亿元，同比+102%/环比 +30%，增长稳健。2025 年全年营业利润 135.97 亿元，我们测算对应 4Q25 单季度营业利润 47.59 亿元，同比+190%/环 比+20%。整体处于此前业绩预告中枢。利润增速小于收入增速，我们认为主要 ...

光模块：本周光模块指数+4.84%，本月以来光模块指数+4.14%。NV 业绩&指引双 beat。但从股价看市场反应温和， 我们认为主要系担心竞争格局、预期交易充分的原因。展望 3 月，NVIDIA GTC 大会即将开幕,我们预计有望展示 CPO 交换机、rubin ultra 等方案，或将给再催化光通信板块。 IDC：本周 IDC 指数+2.41%，本月以来，IDC 指数+2.44%。OpenRouter 数据显示，2026 年 2 月 9 日至 15 日当周，中 国模型的调用量为 4.12 万亿 Token，首次超过美国模型（2.94 万亿 Token）。中国领先的芯片制造商正努力在两年 内将采用尖端工艺技术制造的芯片产量提高五倍，以满足国内人工智能行业的需求。 核心数据更新： 电信业务量收增速逐步提升。2025 年电信业务收入累计完成 1.75 万亿元，同比增长 0.7%。按照上年不变价计算的电 信业务总量同比增长 9.1%。12 月我国光模块出口金额当月同比增加 0.9%；1-12 月累计同比降低 16%。4Q25 微软/谷 歌/Meta/亚马逊资本支出分别为 299 亿/279 亿/214 亿/39 ...

[Table_Page] 宏观经济|定期报告 2026 年 3 月 1 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 怎么看所谓 2028 年"全球智能危机"的观点 宏观周度述评系列（2026.02.24-03.01） [报告摘要 Table_Summary：] 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 1注：未特别说明，报告数据来自 wind，彭博 | [Table_Author] 分析师： | 郭磊 | | --- | --- | | | SAC 执证号：S0260516070002 | | | SFC CE No. BNY419 | | | 021-38003572 | | | guolei@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 陈礼清 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260523080003 | | | 021-38003809 | | | chenliqing@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 陈嘉荔 | | | SAC 执证号：S0260523120005 | | | 021-38003674 | | | gfchenjiali@gf.com.cn | | 分析师： | 钟林楠 | ...