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房价失守!深圳楼市,终于坐不住了!
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-07 00:18

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen's real estate market is responding to regulatory changes, with new policies introduced to stimulate housing demand and adjust market dynamics [1][11]. Policy Changes - Shenzhen's new housing policy categorizes the city into three zones: core areas (Nanshan, Futian, and Bao'an New An), peripheral areas (Luohu, Bao'an excluding New An, Longhua, Longgang, Guangming, and Pingshan), and suburban areas (Yantian, Dapeng, and Deep-Shan) [4][5][6]. - The policy allows for unlimited purchases for local residents and non-residents with one year of social security in peripheral areas, while suburban areas have no purchase restrictions for outsiders [6][8]. - Single individuals now have equal purchasing rights as families, allowing them to buy two properties in core areas if they have paid social security for one year [8]. Financial Implications - The distinction between first and second homes has been removed, aligning down payment ratios and loan rates for both categories, effectively lowering costs for second-home buyers [9][10]. - Current mortgage rates for both first and second homes are set at 3.05%, down from 3.45% for second homes, which could save buyers significant interest over time [9][10]. Market Performance - Shenzhen's housing prices have fallen below 60,000 yuan per square meter, with recent data showing a drop to 59,300 yuan in July, marking the second time since last year that prices have dipped below this threshold [16][18][21]. - The overall trend indicates a significant decline in property prices across major cities, with Shenzhen experiencing a 39.6% drop since 2016 [21]. Market Dynamics - The current market environment reflects a broader adjustment phase, with many potential buyers hesitant due to economic uncertainties and previous high prices creating a "demand gap" [37][40]. - The population decline in China, with a reduction of 208,000 in 2023, is expected to further impact the real estate market, as population growth is a key driver of housing demand [46][49]. Long-term Outlook - The recent policy changes are anticipated to have a short-term stimulating effect, but the long-term impact remains uncertain, as the market continues to adjust to economic realities and changing buyer sentiments [33][52].