华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio｜2025年9月8日

Market Overview - US non-farm payroll data for August showed an increase of only 22,000 jobs, significantly below expectations, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.3%, the highest in nearly four years [15] - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates three times this year, with a 96% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September and a possibility of a 50 basis point cut [15][25] - Major US stock indices opened high but closed lower due to recession fears overshadowing rate cut expectations, with the Nasdaq dropping over 1.5% from its daily high [2] - AMD shares fell by 6.58%, while Broadcom surged over 9% following news of a partnership with OpenAI to design AI chips [2][18] - Gold prices reached a record high of $3,600, reflecting increased demand amid rate cut expectations and risk aversion [2] Key News - China's foreign exchange reserves increased by 0.91% in July, with the central bank adding gold for the tenth consecutive month, totaling 122,000 ounces (approximately 38 tons) since November [3][13] - The Shenzhen real estate market has seen significant policy changes, allowing non-residents to purchase up to two properties and lifting restrictions for single individuals [5][14] - The US Treasury Secretary indicated that the non-farm employment data for 2024 might be revised down by 800,000 jobs, emphasizing the need for the Federal Reserve to maintain public trust [15][16] Industry Insights - The AI sector is experiencing a surge in investment, with OpenAI projected to spend $115 billion over the next four years, aiming for $200 billion in revenue by 2030 [18] - The OPEC+ alliance has agreed in principle to increase production in October, shifting focus to market share rather than price stability [19] - The Chinese retail industry is showing signs of recovery, with the retail prosperity index reaching 50.6%, the highest in eight months, driven by back-to-school shopping and promotional activities [30]