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潮宏基(002345):25H1业绩延续高增表现超预期 盈利能力显著改善

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for the first half of 2025, with significant revenue and profit growth, alongside an expansion in its franchise model and international presence [1][2][5][6]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 4.1 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 330 million yuan, up 44.3% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue reached 1.85 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 13.1%, and net profit of 140 million yuan, also reflecting a 44.3% increase year-on-year [2]. - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 23.8%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, while Q2 2025 saw a gross margin of 24.9%, an increase of 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Revenue Breakdown - In H1 2025, revenue by product was as follows: fashion jewelry (1.99 billion yuan, +20.3%), traditional gold (1.83 billion yuan, +24.0%), leather goods (120 million yuan, -17.4%), and brand licensing and franchise services (120 million yuan, -0.5%) [3]. - Revenue by business segment included self-operated (1.17 billion yuan, +4.8%), online channels (570 million yuan, -5.8%), franchise and agency (2.24 billion yuan, +36.2%), and wholesale (100 million yuan, +97.1%) [3]. Cost and Profitability - The company maintained stable expense ratios in H1 2025, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 9.3%, 1.6%, 1.1%, and 0.4%, respectively [4]. - The net profit margin for H1 2025 was 330 million yuan, with Q2 showing a net profit margin of 7.7%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Expansion Strategy - The company is expanding its franchise model, with a total of 1,540 jewelry stores by the end of H1 2025, including a net increase of 72 franchise stores [5]. - The company aims to open an additional 150-200 stores by the end of the year, capitalizing on the peak opening season in H2 [5]. - The company has successfully entered the Cambodian market and is performing well in Malaysia and Thailand [6]. Market Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the rising gold prices and the shift in the industry towards brand and product-driven growth [6]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 510 million yuan and 640 million yuan in 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 27x and 22x for those years [6].