人民币兑美元中间价报7.1029上调35点，升值至2024年11月6日以来最高！美联储9月降息25个基点的概率为92%

Group 1 - The central bank of China set the RMB to USD midpoint rate at 7.1029, an increase of 35 basis points, marking the highest appreciation since November 6, 2024 [2] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 92%, with a 0% chance of maintaining current rates [4] - The likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut in October is 21.2%, while the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 72.6% [4] - There is a 6.2% chance of a cumulative 75 basis point cut by the Federal Reserve [4]