2035年欧盟禁燃令会“黄”吗？

Core Viewpoint - The European automotive industry is increasingly opposing the EU's 2035 "ban on combustion engines," arguing that the aggressive carbon reduction targets are no longer feasible and could lead to significant industry disruption [2][3][4]. Group 1: Industry Concerns - The European Automobile Manufacturers Association (ACEA) and the European Automobile Suppliers Association (CLEPA) have expressed that the current targets for reducing CO2 emissions are unrealistic given the geopolitical and industrial realities [2]. - Mercedes-Benz's CEO has warned that a strict ban on new combustion engine vehicles by 2035 could lead to the collapse of the European automotive industry [3]. - Audi has postponed its plans to cease internal combustion engine development by 2026, reflecting a broader trend among automakers to reassess their commitments to the "ban" [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The electric vehicle market in Europe has slowed down compared to previous years, prompting many automakers to question the feasibility of the 2035 target [3][4]. - Data from the European Automobile Manufacturers Association shows that from January to July this year, the market share of pure electric vehicles reached 15.6%, while hybrid vehicles accounted for 34.7% [6]. Group 3: Calls for Flexibility - Industry leaders are advocating for a more flexible timeline for the "ban," suggesting that the EU should consider a variety of technological pathways, including hybrid and synthetic fuels, to facilitate a smoother transition [7][8]. - The EU is facing pressure from member states like Italy and Poland to review the "ban" and adjust the carbon reduction targets to protect jobs and maintain competitiveness [4][8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The EU Commission plans to review the "ban" in 2026, with discussions on the future of the automotive industry scheduled for September 12 [4]. - Some industry experts believe that the price gap between electric and combustion vehicles will narrow significantly by 2030, potentially making the "ban" unnecessary [9].