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大美无度:全球5A级第一强国,中国光能耀世界
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-10 06:42

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese photovoltaic industry has achieved high-quality development, ranking as the world's top 5A country in this sector, with significant advancements in technology and market presence [1][3]. Industry Overview - The Chinese photovoltaic industry has built the most competitive supply chain globally, maintaining the highest production and installation capacity for over a decade [3]. - In the first half of 2025, China added 212.21 GW of new photovoltaic installations, a 107% year-on-year increase, contributing over 45% to the global total expected to reach 570-630 GW [3]. - As of May 2025, the cumulative installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation in China surpassed 1 billion kW, equivalent to 48 Three Gorges power stations [3]. Market Dynamics - The industry faces structural contradictions, with production capacity exceeding global demand significantly, leading to price volatility and squeezed profit margins [4]. - Component prices have dropped below 0.6 yuan per watt due to supply exceeding demand, resulting in a challenging profit environment across the industry [4]. Technological Innovations - N-type batteries have become mainstream, with TOPCon technology accounting for over 75% of production capacity, while advanced technologies like HJT and BC are accelerating commercialization [4]. - Longi Green Energy's HIBC technology has achieved a laboratory conversion efficiency of 27.81%, with HPBC 2.0 components reaching 24.8% efficiency and HIBC components exceeding 25.9% efficiency [4][5]. Policy and Regulatory Environment - The Chinese government is implementing measures to regulate the photovoltaic industry, including curbing low-price competition and ensuring product quality [5][6]. - Recent international policy changes from the U.S. and EU pose new challenges for Chinese photovoltaic companies, including anti-dumping investigations and local manufacturing requirements [6][7]. Global Market Expansion - Chinese photovoltaic companies are diversifying their market presence to counter global trade barriers, actively participating in large projects in the Middle East and Southeast Asia [7]. - Investments in Latin America and Africa are increasing, with significant projects underway in Brazil, Mexico, and Ethiopia [7]. Future Challenges - The industry must align with international standards, including stricter ESG requirements and carbon footprint labeling, to enhance export competitiveness [8]. - Future policies will likely create a multi-dimensional regulatory framework encompassing market rules, environmental protection, and safety production [8].