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第一上海:网龙AI降本增效显著 游戏业务稳健增长 目标价17.27港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-10 07:08

Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai maintains a "buy" rating for NetDragon (00777), highlighting the stability of the company's gaming business and the potential of its education business market space [1] Group 1: 2025 Mid-Year Performance - NetDragon is projected to achieve revenue of 2.38 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, with a gross profit of 1.7 billion RMB, reflecting a gross margin increase of 2.9 percentage points to 69.5% year-on-year [2] - Operating expenses are expected to be 1.35 billion RMB, a decrease of 15.6% year-on-year, indicating the effectiveness of the company's cost optimization and efficiency improvement measures [2] - The company has a solid financial position with net cash of approximately 1.5 billion RMB and holds 12,000 Ethereum as digital asset reserves [2] - A mid-term dividend of 0.5 HKD per share has been announced, with a commitment to return at least 600 million HKD to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks over the next year [2] Group 2: Gaming Business - In the first half of 2025, the gaming and other businesses generated revenue of 1.74 billion RMB, showing signs of stabilization compared to the second half of 2024 [3] - The Monthly Active Users (MAU) of "Magic Domain" increased by 11% year-on-year, with mobile revenue also showing a quarter-on-quarter increase, indicating improved user engagement and retention [3] - The operating profit margin for the gaming business has rebounded to 28.8%, nearing historical normal levels [3] - Upcoming product launches include "Code MY" which began small-scale testing in August, and plans to expand "Magic Domain" and "Code Alpha" into multiple overseas markets [3] Group 3: Education Business - The Mynd.ai business generated revenue of 640 million RMB in the first half of 2025 [4] - In response to challenges from reduced global education technology spending, the company will continue to pursue cost optimization [4] - Despite weak performance in traditional markets in Europe and the US, the company is actively exploring emerging markets for new growth opportunities [4] - While short-term pressures from fluctuations in overseas education budgets remain, the long-term logic of increasing global education digital penetration remains unchanged [4]