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ava爱华集团热点:非农数据大幅下修 三大指数 黄金再走高
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-10 07:29

Group 1 - The U.S. Labor Department's preliminary benchmark revision data revealed a downward adjustment of 910,000 non-farm jobs for the year ending in March, marking the largest downward revision since 2000, indicating a weak labor market [1][3] - The unemployment rate rose to 4.3% in August, the highest in four years, with job losses accelerating in cyclical-sensitive industries [3] - Despite weak employment data, the stock market remained optimistic, with the Dow Jones up 0.43% to 45,711.34 points, the S&P 500 rising 0.27% to 6,512.61 points, and the Nasdaq increasing 0.37% to 21,879.49 points [1] Group 2 - The yield curve for U.S. Treasuries steepened, with the 2-year yield dropping to 3.47%, the lowest since 2022, and the 10-year yield down by 8 basis points, reflecting deteriorating long-term growth expectations [4] - The bond market has fully priced in a 50 basis point rate cut in September, with the annual rate cut expectation rising to 72 basis points [4] - Gold prices surged, with COMEX gold reaching a historical high of $3,715, supported by strong buying interest, as indicated by Goldman Sachs' report of an 8:1 buying power ratio [4] Group 3 - Defensive sectors such as utilities and consumer staples outperformed the market, reflecting concerns over economic slowdown [4] - The market is facing a policy balancing act for the Federal Reserve amid political pressure and inflation risks, with a potential 50 basis point cut in September possibly undermining policy credibility [4] - Upcoming PPI/CPI data will be crucial in adjusting market expectations, with potential inflation surprises possibly leading to profit-taking in gold [4]