美国威胁50%关税逼迫印度，莫迪却取消联合国大会，谁会妥协

Core Points - The article discusses the escalating diplomatic tensions between the United States and India, particularly following U.S. Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo's threats of imposing a 50% tariff on Indian goods unless India supports the dollar [1][2][4]. - India's Prime Minister Modi's strong response included canceling his attendance at the UN General Assembly and refusing to meet with President Trump, signaling India's commitment to maintaining its diplomatic independence [6][8]. Group 1: U.S. Threats and India's Response - U.S. Commerce Secretary Raimondo's ultimatum to India included a demand for full support of the dollar or face severe tariffs, which was perceived as a direct challenge to India's sovereignty [2][10]. - Modi's immediate cancellation of his UN trip and refusal to meet Trump demonstrated India's rejection of U.S. pressure tactics [6][8]. - The U.S. underestimated India's resolve, believing that economic pressure would compel compliance [10][13]. Group 2: Trade Dynamics and Strategic Interests - The U.S. is concerned about the trade imbalance with India, which saw a trade surplus of approximately $35 billion for India in 2024, amidst a total trade volume exceeding $119 billion [10][11]. - India's significant purchases of Russian oil, especially post the Russia-Ukraine conflict, have raised alarms in Washington, as it undermines Western sanctions against Russia [10][13]. - The rise of the BRICS nations and their push for de-dollarization is viewed as a direct challenge to U.S. financial dominance, with BRICS currency settlements increasing to 23% in 2024 [11][17]. Group 3: Global Power Dynamics - The conflict between the U.S. and India reflects broader shifts in global power structures, highlighting the tension between unilateral dominance and a multipolar world [15][21]. - The expansion of BRICS from 5 to 11 member countries, representing half of the global population and GDP comparable to the G7, signifies a growing challenge to U.S. hegemony [17][19]. - India's diplomatic stance is seen as part of a larger trend where middle powers seek to assert their autonomy and influence in international relations, moving away from being mere followers of major powers [19][25]. Group 4: Implications for Future Relations - Experts predict that U.S.-India relations may enter a phase of managing differences rather than returning to a cooperative state, which could lead India to strengthen ties with BRICS partners [25][27]. - Modi's actions are viewed as a potential model for other emerging nations facing similar dilemmas between great power influence and national sovereignty [27][29]. - The article concludes that the current geopolitical landscape is shifting towards a multipolar order, where countries must choose between subservience and independence [29].