NFLX vs. PSKY: Which Streaming Giant Has Better Upside Potential?

Core Insights - Netflix (NFLX) maintains a dominant position in the streaming market with over 300 million paid households globally, while Paramount Skydance Corporation (PSKY) is navigating post-merger integration challenges after an $8 billion merger completed in August 2025 [1][9] - Netflix reported a 16% year-over-year revenue growth to $11.08 billion in Q2 2025, raising its full-year guidance to $44.8-$45.2 billion, contrasting with PSKY's focus on $2 billion in cost reductions and subscriber growth for Paramount+ [2][4] Group 1: Netflix (NFLX) Analysis - NFLX's operating margins reached 34.1%, up 7 percentage points year over year, with free cash flow increasing by 91% to $2.3 billion, showcasing operational excellence [4][5] - The company is diversifying revenue through live programming and gaming, with a bullish outlook reflected in its raised full-year revenue guidance and a target of 30% operating margins [5][6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for NFLX's 2025 earnings is $26.06 per share, indicating a 31.42% increase from the previous year [7] Group 2: Paramount Skydance Corporation (PSKY) Analysis - PSKY's Direct-to-Consumer segment showed a 15% year-over-year revenue growth to $2.2 billion, with Paramount+ adding 10 million subscribers despite challenges [8][10] - The merger provides significant financial resources, including a $1.5 billion capital infusion, and ambitious plans for premium content, such as a seven-year, $7.7 billion UFC rights deal [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PSKY's 2025 earnings is $1.48 per share, indicating a 3.9% decline from the previous year [12] Group 3: Valuation and Market Performance - NFLX trades at a premium P/E of 41.71, reflecting investor confidence in its leadership and growth prospects, while PSKY trades at a discounted P/E of 9.52, indicating market skepticism [9][13] - NFLX has gained 41.1% over six months, outperforming the broader Zacks Consumer Discretionary sector and PSKY, which has experienced volatility since the merger [13][16] - Despite PSKY's potential for synergies and discounted valuation, its significant debt burden of $11.8 billion against $2.7 billion in cash and declining linear revenues present substantial challenges [11][16] Conclusion - NFLX is positioned as the superior investment due to its proven execution, market dominance, and robust content pipeline, while PSKY faces risks related to its debt and uncertain profitability [18]