火锅迈入“70元时代”，性价比、细分赛道、区域深耕成破局关键

Industry Overview - The hot pot industry is undergoing significant transformation, with the market size expected to exceed 617.5 billion yuan in 2024 and reach 650 billion yuan in 2025, alongside a total of over 490,000 hot pot restaurants nationwide and a chain rate of 28%, surpassing the overall restaurant industry level [1] - Despite the apparent prosperity, the industry faces challenges with "scale expansion but profit decline," leading to increased survival pressure for companies [1] Consumer Behavior - Consumer spending on hot pot has decreased from 86.7 yuan per person in 2022 to 77.1 yuan in 2025, marking an 11% decline over four years, prompting companies to adjust their strategies [1] - The number of newly registered hot pot businesses in the first half of 2025 was only 22,000, a significant slowdown compared to the previous four years, which saw annual increases of 50,000 to 100,000 [1] Competitive Strategies - Some brands are adopting a "value-for-money revolution" to navigate the competitive landscape, with Hai Di Lao's sub-brand "Ju Gao Gao" offering over 100 SKUs at 59.9 yuan, and other brands enhancing consumer experience through free desserts and affordable pricing [1] - Brands like Xu Fu Niu are shifting from "affordable hot pot" to "beef specialists," streamlining their SKUs to 40 and emphasizing the richness of beef products [3] Supply Chain Innovations - Supply chain upgrades are reshaping industry competitiveness, with brands collaborating to develop unique products and establishing direct sourcing and regional distribution networks to lower costs [4] - The establishment of vegetable bases and partnerships with logistics companies has enabled brands to reduce food costs by 20% and enhance quality control [4] Market Expansion - The proportion of hot pot restaurants in third-tier cities and below reached 52.3% by May 2025, covering over 700 million people, indicating a shift towards lower-tier markets as a new growth area [4] - Brands like Ba Nu are achieving higher profit margins in lower-tier markets compared to first-tier cities, demonstrating the presence of quality consumption demand in these areas [4] Innovation in Niche Segments - Continuous innovation in niche segments is evident, with brands like Shan Ye Hot Pot gaining popularity and introducing new themes such as "mountain wild" and "health trends" [5] - New product offerings like "Shan Ye Secret Pot" have slightly increased average spending, showcasing the effectiveness of thematic differentiation in attracting consumers [5]