消费分裂时代：年轻人买盲盒不买房，中年人囤黄金不投资

Core Insights - The current Chinese consumer market reflects a split between rational and emotional spending, with high demand for emotional value products like LABUBU, while traditional luxury goods like high-end liquor are experiencing a decline [1][6][11] Macro Data - Retail sales of consumer goods reached 24.55 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5%, indicating a recovery in domestic demand [3] - The contribution of consumption to GDP stands at 52%, and core CPI has expanded for three consecutive months, suggesting ongoing recovery in consumer spending [1] Consumer Behavior - There is a notable divergence in consumer behavior, with young consumers willing to spend 949 yuan on emotional value but reluctant to pay 300 yuan for a fine dining experience [1][8] - The phenomenon of "macro heat, micro cold" illustrates the contrast between positive macroeconomic indicators and individual consumer experiences, with many opting for lower-cost options [3][11] Emotional Consumption - Emotional consumption has become a significant trend, with a compound annual growth rate of 12% since 2013, and the market is expected to exceed 2 trillion yuan [3][6] - Over 90% of young consumers recognize the importance of emotional value, with nearly 60% willing to pay for it, reflecting a shift towards prioritizing personal satisfaction over traditional status symbols [13][17] Industry Performance - Pop Mart, a leading player in the emotional consumption sector, reported a revenue of 13.88 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 204.4%, with net profit soaring by 396.5% [6] - In contrast, the high-end liquor industry is struggling, with 15 out of 21 listed companies reporting declines in revenue and profit, highlighting a shift away from "face consumption" [8][11] Market Trends - The high-end hotel sector is facing challenges, with occupancy rates for five-star hotels dropping to 52%, while budget hotels and homestays are seeing increased demand [9] - Fast food consumption is on the rise, with a 9.7% increase in low-cost dining options, contrasting with a 15.3% decline in high-end dining [11] Future Outlook - The consumer market is expected to continue evolving along the lines of "cost-performance" and "emotional value," requiring companies to adapt their strategies to meet diverse consumer needs [16][17] - The rise of younger consumers and their preference for emotional spending over traditional luxury goods presents both challenges and opportunities for businesses [17]