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兴证国际:首予东方证券“增持”评级 看好公司收费类业务转型兑现成长性
Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-09-11 01:49

Core Viewpoint - The report from Xingzheng International highlights the strong performance of Dongfang Securities (600958)(03958) in its proprietary business and its proactive asset structure optimization, indicating a positive outlook for the company's transformation in fee-based services and growth potential. The projected net profit for the company in 2025 and 2026 is expected to be 4.352 billion and 4.608 billion yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 29.9% and 5.9%, with an initial "Buy" rating assigned [1]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Dongfang Securities reported operating revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders of 8.001 billion and 3.463 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 38.9% and 64.0%. In Q2 alone, the operating revenue and net profit were 2.619 billion and 2.027 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter decline of 51.3% and an increase of 41.2%, primarily due to changes in accounting policies [2]. Revenue Breakdown - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved revenue from fee-based and capital-based businesses of 2.886 billion and 5.058 billion yuan, marking year-on-year growth of 16.3% and 57.6%. The growth in fee-based income was driven by brokerage and investment banking, while capital-based business continued to be a core profit driver for the company [3]. Business Segments - In the first half of 2025, net income from brokerage, investment banking, and asset management was 1.371 billion, 720 million, and 601 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 31.1%, 31.6%, and a decline of 15.1%. The brokerage business benefited from client expansion and distribution efforts, adding 228,000 new clients and attracting 24.5 billion yuan in assets, with year-on-year increases of 90% and 45%. The public fund distribution saw a significant rise of 61.3% [4]. Investment Business - In the first half of 2025, the company reported net interest income and investment income of 462 million and 4.595 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -33.4% and +82.7%. The decline in net interest income was mainly due to rising costs of interbank borrowing and an increase in bond repurchase scale, while investment income continued to show high growth, with investment returns increasing by 67.6% to 3.965 billion yuan, driven by dividend returns from equity investments and gains from trading financial assets [5].