金银铂：看涨势头建立

Group 1: Gold Market - Gold prices remain near record highs, supported by weak U.S. inflation data and expectations of monetary easing [3] - The Producer Price Index unexpectedly declined in August, and weak non-farm payroll reports reinforce the view that the U.S. economy is losing momentum [3] - Traders currently anticipate a 90% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve during the meeting on September 16-17 [3] - Analysts suggest that the Fed may cut rates more than twice before the end of the year, which historically supports gold prices [3] - Increased uncertainty surrounding the independence of the Federal Reserve has added to risk premiums [3] Group 2: Technical Analysis of Gold - Gold prices reached a high of $3,674.70 before closing around $3,648.06, maintaining a bullish structure above the 50-day moving average of $3,389.4 [4] - A resistance level is formed around $3,750, with a daily close above this level potentially opening the way to $3,900 [4] - Initial support levels are at $3,593 and $3,511, with further support at the 50-day moving average if prices decline [4] Group 3: Silver Market - Silver benefits from a moderate macroeconomic environment, gaining momentum due to expectations of declining real yields as inflation slows and employment data weakens [8] - Silver's dual role as both a monetary and industrial metal adds extra market interest amid changing economic expectations [8] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Silver - Silver prices increased by 0.8% to $41.19, remaining strong above the 50-day moving average of $38.5 [9] - The recent high of $41.67 forms a key resistance level, with a breakthrough potentially leading to $42.50 [9] - Notable support levels include $40.40 and $39.88, with bullish momentum maintained as long as prices stay above the short-term trend line [9] Group 5: Platinum Market - Platinum surged by 1.7% to $1,395.05, benefiting from the overall strength of metals and speculation that soft monetary policy will support industrial demand [12] - Platinum prices tend to follow gold trends in a rate-sensitive environment, despite typically larger price fluctuations [12] Group 6: Technical Analysis of Platinum - Platinum has recovered above the 50-day moving average of $1,377 and is stabilizing above this level [12] - Recent resistance is seen at $1,400, followed by a key target around $1,430 [12] - Support is located at $1,366, where bulls may defend the area if momentum stalls [12] Group 7: Market Outlook - The outlook for gold, silver, and platinum remains bullish, driven by dovish Federal Reserve expectations and strong technical positions [12] - The upcoming CPI report will be crucial for confirming the next phase of this rally [12]