Group 1 - Wall Street expects the August CPI to show rising inflation, but it is unlikely to change the Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates in September [1] - The market anticipates a 25 basis point cut in the federal funds rate after the Fed meeting on September 17, with potential further cuts in October and December [1] - Economists surveyed predict the year-on-year CPI for August to rise from 2.7% to 2.9%, with a month-on-month increase from 0.2% to 0.3% [1] Group 2 - The current economic data is insufficient to prevent the Fed from cutting rates in September, but hawkish data could alter the easing path for October and December [1] - Several banks have adjusted their rate forecasts, with Barclays predicting three cuts this year and two in 2026 [1] - The Atlanta Fed model indicates a strong GDP growth rate of 3% for the third quarter [1]
标普500指数:今晚CPI或影响美联储利率路径