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沪指涨超1.6%,两市成交额连续连续22日超2万亿元!证券ETF龙头(560090)大涨3%,近9日连续吸金超3.8亿元!流动性视角,券商板块走到哪了?
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-09-11 07:10

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant rally, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 1.6% and trading volume exceeding 2.3 trillion yuan, marking 22 consecutive days of trading volume above 2 trillion yuan since August 13 [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - The leading Securities ETF (560090) has seen a 2.84% increase, with trading volume surging to 220 million yuan, accumulating over 380 million yuan in inflows over the past nine days [1][3]. - Major components of the Securities ETF index have all risen, with Dongfang Caifu increasing nearly 4% and trading volume surpassing 10 billion yuan [3][4]. Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The release of the draft regulations on public fund sales fees is a significant move by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) aimed at promoting high-quality development in the public fund industry and protecting investor rights [5]. - According to Zhongtai Securities, the new sales fee regulations are favorable for the long-term steady development of the industry, maintaining the current commission payment ratios, which is better than market expectations [5]. Group 3: Liquidity and Investment Trends - Western Securities indicates that various funds are entering the market, with insurance companies increasing their stock allocation, and public fund issuance/net subscriptions showing signs of recovery [6]. - The ongoing trend of "deposit migration" among residents is just beginning, with a notable increase in net subscriptions to actively managed equity funds and a rise in new individual investor accounts [6][7]. - The capital market's total market value to residents' deposits ratio remains low at 0.59, suggesting significant room for growth as residents seek better returns in the stock market [6]. Group 4: Broker Sector Outlook - The broker sector is positioned for further gains, with a 74% increase in broker stocks from July 10 to August 31, driven by increased trading volume from resident funds [8]. - Historical data shows that significant increases in the A-share liquidity index coincide with broker stock performance, indicating potential for further upside as liquidity improves [7][8].