Core Viewpoint - Huaxi Securities (002926) has initiated coverage on Xiaocaiyuan (00999) with a "Buy" rating, projecting significant revenue and profit growth from 2025 to 2027, driven by strategic expansion and operational efficiencies [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Expected revenues for Xiaocaiyuan are projected at 6.042 billion, 7.334 billion, and 8.835 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 15.98%, 21.38%, and 20.47% [1] - Corresponding net profits are forecasted at 769 million, 951 million, and 1.191 billion yuan for the same years, with year-on-year increases of 32.37%, 23.80%, and 25.14% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.65, 0.81, and 1.01 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] Group 2: Growth Drivers - Xiaocaiyuan's growth is supported by three main advantages: 1. Store Expansion: The company is expanding its store network, particularly in provinces like Henan and Shandong, where consumer acceptance of various cuisines is high, minimizing expansion resistance [1] 2. Product Standardization: The introduction of central kitchens, pre-processing of ingredients, and the use of cooking robots are addressing the challenges of standardizing food quality across locations, ensuring brand consistency during rapid expansion [1] 3. Store Model Optimization: The investment payback period for individual stores is decreasing, and the company plans to implement smaller store models, which, combined with the use of cooking robots, is expected to maintain low investment return cycles and enhance profit margins [1]
华西证券:首予小菜园“买入”评级 门店利润率水平有望进一步提升