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股市十年轮回,我收获了185%的涨幅和-82%的重挫
3 6 Ke·2025-09-11 12:21

Core Insights - The article reflects on the contrasting performance of two stocks held over a decade, highlighting a 185% gain for one stock and an 82% loss for the other, illustrating the dual nature of investing: value appreciation versus human psychology [1][5][25] - The Shanghai Composite Index has returned to 3800 points, marking a significant recovery since August 2015, prompting reflections on past investment decisions and market behaviors [1][8] Investment Experience - The initial investment was made around 3800 points in 2015, with a notable rise to 5178 points by June of the same year, followed by a downturn [1][5] - Media narratives showcasing significant returns, such as "5 years without trading resulting in a 5x increase," influenced the decision to enter the stock market [3][5] Stock Selection - The two stocks selected were China Ping An and Suning.com, both considered leading companies with strong financial foundations and growth potential at the time of investment [11][12] - China Ping An has shown a cumulative return of 185%, while Suning.com has faced a decline of 82%, reflecting the risks associated with stock selection and market volatility [5][17] Market Dynamics - The article discusses the impact of market downturns, particularly the significant drop in June 2015, which affected investor sentiment and stock performance [14][15] - The concept of "black swan" events is introduced, emphasizing the unpredictable nature of the market and its effects on individual stocks [13][16] Long-term Holding Strategy - The experience of holding stocks for a decade is described as a mix of confusion, expectation, and acceptance, with the realization that long-term holding can yield positive results despite market fluctuations [7][9] - The importance of maintaining a diversified portfolio and controlling the proportion of funds allocated to the stock market is highlighted as a risk management strategy [22][25] Future Considerations - The article raises questions about the future of stock trading and the importance of setting clear exit strategies, regardless of market conditions [25][26] - The ongoing uncertainty regarding when to exit the market is acknowledged, suggesting that new market events could alter current investment philosophies [26]