外卖补贴“散场”，茶饮、咖啡高增长如何“续杯”？

Core Viewpoint - The recent subsidy wars among food delivery platforms have significantly impacted the ready-to-drink tea and coffee market, leading to unsustainable growth driven by external incentives rather than organic demand [1][5][8]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The competition among major food delivery platforms like Meituan, Alibaba, and JD has intensified, resulting in substantial subsidies that have disrupted the pricing structure of the ready-to-drink tea and coffee market [2][3]. - In the first half of 2025, major brands such as Luckin Coffee, Gu Ming, and Mi Xue Ice City reported a combined revenue of 55 billion yuan, an increase of 13.5 billion yuan year-on-year, largely attributed to these subsidies [1][3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Luckin Coffee reported a net income of 21.22 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 44.6% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.78 billion yuan, up from 788 million yuan in the previous year [3]. - Gu Ming achieved a revenue of 5.663 billion yuan in the same period, marking a 41.2% year-on-year growth, while Mi Xue Ice City expanded its store count significantly, contributing to its revenue growth [3][4]. Group 3: Sustainability Concerns - Analysts express concerns regarding the sustainability of the growth driven by delivery subsidies, suggesting that the impressive financial results may not be replicable in the absence of such incentives [5][8]. - The reliance on delivery platforms has led to a decline in dine-in orders, which are more profitable for stores, raising questions about the long-term viability of the current business model [9]. Group 4: Future Strategies - The market regulator has indicated a shift towards more sustainable practices, urging platforms to control subsidies and enhance service quality, which may lead to a decline in sales growth for tea and coffee brands [7][10]. - Companies are now focusing on improving in-store efficiency, increasing customer retention, and exploring international markets as part of their long-term strategies [9][10].